TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Lukas Boruvka vs Josef Medek 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA14 · Liberec
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
13119111161311––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:55 and never touched: 74.7% is still 74.7%
Graded at full timeLukas Boruvka to win
74.7%
74.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Boruvka above · Josef Medek below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 85 set 4, 13-11 · our read held Lukas Boruvka at 74.7%
85 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Boruvka 49–20 Josef Medek Josef Medek has won 20 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:5574.7%Our read77.8%to break even at 1.285
short by 3.1pp77.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.285 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Boruvka
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
49-20 in 69
Boruvka
Correct
gap of 29 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Boruvka 2101 vs Medek 1966
Boruvka
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boruvka 40% vs Medek 60%
Medek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boruvka 60% vs Medek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Boruvka -1 · Medek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% · Strong (leans Boruvka) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Medek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoruvka 1.285 / Medek 3.50
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Boruvka)-3.1pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13269362
Boruvka1.28
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite81% won 59 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it95% 40 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it91% 48 of 53
Medek3.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog17% won 5 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back4% 1 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBoruvka10wins
AwayMedek0wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBoruvka leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBoruvka100%10 of 10
AwayMedekn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Boruvka10Medek0n = 10Boruvka took 10 of 10
S2Boruvka10Medek0n = 10Boruvka took 10 of 10
S3Boruvka8Medek2n = 10Boruvka took 8 of 10
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home880%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBoruvkaMedekB − MBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set100+10of 10Avg pointsper match36.321.9+14.4per matchSweeps80+83–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoruvkaMedekBasisWin rate · lifetime114 / 165 vs 287 / 49369.1%58.2%114 / 165 vs 287 / 493Avg sets wonper match2.52.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BoruvkaBoruvka 1.28/Medek 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.7%
Boruvka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Boruvka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 20:00L. Boruvka361111143J. Medek1952120
WAug 2 · 14:00L. Boruvka331111113J. Medek188820
WJul 31 · 19:30L. Boruvka331111113J. Medek239590
WJun 21 · 17:30L. Boruvka50111378113J. Medek44511111162
WJun 21 · 15:30L. Boruvka331111113J. Medek113350
WJun 21 · 12:00L. Boruvka4011117113J. Medek27831151
WJun 6 · 10:30L. Boruvka331111113J. Medek135170
WJun 6 · 08:00L. Boruvka381511123J. Medek25132100
WMay 24 · 14:00L. Boruvka331111113J. Medek207850
WMay 21 · 20:00L. Boruvka341211113J. Medek1910360
L. Boruvka10
WOct 10 · 11:30J. Zajicek4.50413831L. Boruvka1.17111111113LOct 10 · 10:00L. Boruvka1.401199101E. Mares2.7551111123WSep 26 · 13:30D. Opanasiuk2.651161111L. Boruvka1.431311843LSep 26 · 12:00L. Boruvka1.57111110582D. Opanasiuk2.25651211113LSep 26 · 11:30E. Mares3.75111111123L. Boruvka1.254413101WSep 26 · 10:00L. Boruvka1.531111113M. Parzhizek2.388790WSep 13 · 21:30L. Boruvka1.161111113J. Zajicek4.305490WSep 13 · 20:00L. Boruvka1.531111113J. Cernik2.388770WSep 13 · 19:30V. Koubek3.759650L. Boruvka1.251111113WSep 13 · 18:00L. Boruvka1.171111123J. Zajicek4.5055100
J. Medek10
WOct 10 · 11:00E. Mares2.507930J. Medek1.501111113WOct 10 · 10:30J. Medek1.738111011113J. Zajicek2.0011812942LOct 7 · 21:30E. Mares2.4511117113J. Medek1.48961151WOct 7 · 20:00J. Medek1.6111119113J. Zajicek2.20851181LOct 7 · 19:30J. Vales2.5091111113J. Medek1.50114491LOct 7 · 18:00J. Medek1.57711671E. Mares2.2511611113WSep 24 · 20:59J. Medek1.531011817113E. Mares2.38127111562LSep 24 · 20:00J. Medek1.674770J. Zajicek2.101111113WSep 24 · 19:30J. Vales2.63118891J. Medek1.4481111113WSep 24 · 18:00J. Medek1.5011111119113E. Mares2.5081332132
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.