TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Alfred Rinka vs Evzen Rychlik 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA18 · Ostrava
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119117––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:49 and never touched: 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeEvzen Rychlik to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAlfred Rinka above · Evzen Rychlik below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 56 set 3, 11-7 · our read held Evzen Rychlik at 66.3%
56 points played in total.
H2H Alfred Rinka 0–1 Evzen Rychlik Alfred Rinka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:4966.3%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 5.1pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Rychlik
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rinka 1589 vs Rychlik 1647
Rychlik
Wrong
both rated, 59 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rinka 40% vs Rychlik 60%
Rychlik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rinka 30% vs Rychlik 50%
Rychlik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rinka -3 · Rychlik +1
Rinka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% · Clear lean (leans Rychlik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rychlik form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRinka 2.75 / Rychlik 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Rychlik)-5.1pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13269219
Rinka2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 19 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back30% 8 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Rychlik1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Oct 04)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 21 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRinka0wins
AwayRychlik1wins
Rychlik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricRinkaRychlikRinka − RychlikBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match28.034.0−6.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRinkaRychlikBasisWin rate · lifetime45 / 90 vs 122 / 21850%56%45 / 90 vs 122 / 218Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
RychlikRinka 2.75/Rychlik 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Rychlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rinka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 8 · 06:30A. Rinka2899100E. Rychlik341111123
A. Rinka10
WOct 10 · 16:30A. Rinka2.10731111113D. Heczko1.6711116372LOct 10 · 14:00M. Bereiter1.501111113A. Rinka2.505540LOct 8 · 13:30V. Adamczyk1.73991111113A. Rinka2.0011114372LOct 8 · 12:30V. Adamczyk1.73911117113A. Rinka2.0011791192WOct 8 · 11:30A. Rinka1.57951111113J. Levicky2.2511118952WOct 8 · 10:30J. Schwan1.83111111682A. Rinka1.83913511113LOct 6 · 09:04S. Byrtus2.105121113113A. Rinka1.67111081562LOct 6 · 08:30V. Adamczyk1.675111110113A. Rinka2.1011491292WOct 6 · 07:30A. Rinka2.20116711113R. Skacelik1.6191111782LOct 6 · 06:30S. Byrtus1.831112143A. Rinka1.83910120
E. Rychlik10
LOct 10 · 16:00M. Bereiter1.731111113E. Rychlik2.003780LOct 10 · 14:30E. Rychlik1.53811612112D. Heczko2.381171110133WOct 4 · 09:06E. Rychlik1.601111711113D. Heczko2.2051311682LOct 4 · 08:30R. Skacelik2.00125811113E. Rychlik1.73101111892LOct 4 · 07:30E. Rychlik1.91311412112D. Langer1.801181110133WOct 4 · 06:30D. Heczko2.001391061E. Rychlik1.73111112113WSep 26 · 16:59E. Rychlik1.331111113J. Schwan3.255650WSep 26 · 16:00E. Rychlik1.401111113J. Schwan2.756780LSep 26 · 15:30A. Walek1.83111110113E. Rychlik1.83381241LSep 26 · 14:00E. Rychlik1.579280D. Langer2.251111113
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