TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Krystian Kolodziej vs Jakub Kuzmicz 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012811114811––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:41 and never touched: 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeJakub Kuzmicz to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
1012811114811––
H2H Krystian Kolodziej 31–35 Jakub Kuzmicz Krystian Kolodziej has won 31 of their 66 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:4154.7%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 0.9pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kuzmicz
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
31-35 in 66
Kuzmicz
Correct
gap of 4 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolodziej 1816 vs Kuzmicz 1790
Kolodziej
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolodziej 60% vs Kuzmicz 80%
Kuzmicz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolodziej 60% vs Kuzmicz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolodziej +2 · Kuzmicz +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Kuzmicz) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmicz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolodziej 1.85 / Kuzmicz 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Kuzmicz)-0.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13268387
Kolodziej1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 05)
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 72 of 215
Down 0–1, comes back16% 18 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 70
Kuzmicz1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 387 of 624
Up 2–0, closes it98% 164 of 167
Up 1–0, closes it81% 271 of 333
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolodziej6wins
AwayKuzmicz4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKolodziej leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolodziej80%4 of 5
AwayKuzmicz60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolodziej5Kuzmicz5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolodziej7Kuzmicz3n = 10Kolodziej took 7 of 10
S3Kolodziej3Kuzmicz7n = 10Kuzmicz took 7 of 10
S4Kolodziej6Kuzmicz3n = 9Kolodziej took 6 of 9
S5Kolodziej2Kuzmicz2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolodziejKuzmiczKolodziej − KuzmiczBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.040.8+1.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolodziejKuzmiczBasisWin rate · lifetime1262 / 1895 vs 751 / 131166.6%57.3%1262 / 1895 vs 751 / 1311Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmiczKolodziej 1.85/Kuzmicz 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Kuzmicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kuzmicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 5 · 14:10K. Kolodziej44111111113J. Kuzmicz37139961
WOct 2 · 13:45K. Kolodziej49111386113J. Kuzmicz47811111162
WSep 29 · 14:35K. Kolodziej3911116113J. Kuzmicz27541171
LSep 25 · 14:35K. Kolodziej247980J. Kuzmicz331111113
LSep 11 · 12:30K. Kolodziej4697111182J. Kuzmicz51111199113
WAug 26 · 18:30K. Kolodziej4011116123J. Kuzmicz399911101
WAug 18 · 16:05K. Kolodziej46131111113J. Kuzmicz39157981
LAug 17 · 19:15K. Kolodziej3910117111J. Kuzmicz4212611133
WAug 14 · 16:55K. Kolodziej49121196113J. Kuzmicz49108111192
LAug 5 · 19:40K. Kolodziej4411781172J. Kuzmicz44611115113
K. Kolodziej10
WOct 5 · 14:10K. Kolodziej2.00111111113J. Kuzmicz1.73139961WOct 5 · 12:30P. David1.40117111172K. Kolodziej2.75131138113LOct 5 · 11:40G. Felkel1.5761111163K. Kolodziej2.251139141LOct 5 · 10:50K. Kolodziej2.636940J. Kosowski1.441111113WOct 5 · 09:40K. Kolodziej2.50111412113A. Wiecek1.504121481WOct 4 · 13:45K. Kolodziej2.251111113M. Jadczyk1.579650WOct 4 · 12:30K. Kolodziej1.13111110113D. Kostal5.50431241WOct 4 · 11:15K. Kolodziej1.53711119113K. Wisniewski2.3811671132LOct 4 · 10:00P. David1.331211119113K. Kolodziej3.2514791162LOct 4 · 09:20K. Kolodziej1.731012111162K. Kapik2.00121458113
J. Kuzmicz10
WOct 9 · 08:30P. Jendrzejewski1.751011741J. Kuzmicz1.9512911113WOct 9 · 07:15J. Kuzmicz1.901114113K. Wloczko1.8081280LOct 9 · 06:00J. Braun1.7511512113J. Kuzmicz1.907111091WOct 9 · 04:50P. Klos1.87471181J. Kuzmicz1.8311119113WOct 9 · 03:20K. Kapik2.754580J. Kuzmicz1.401111113WOct 7 · 08:05J. Kuzmicz1.321111113D. Kosmal3.103790LOct 7 · 06:25J. Zochniak2.17111356123J. Kuzmicz1.628111111102LOct 7 · 05:35K. Kapik2.051211712113J. Kuzmicz1.65107111492WOct 7 · 04:50J. Kuzmicz1.75114146113M. Rutkowski1.97711121182LOct 5 · 14:10K. Kolodziej2.00111111113J. Kuzmicz1.73139961
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.