TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Kuzmicz vs Mateusz Rutkowski 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118116––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:17 and never touched: 58.4% is still 58.4%
Graded at full timeJakub Kuzmicz to win
58.4%
58.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
118118116––––
H2H Jakub Kuzmicz 44–56 Mateusz Rutkowski Jakub Kuzmicz has won 44 of their 100 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:1758.4%Our read59.9%to break even at 1.67
short by 1.5pp59.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.67 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kuzmicz
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
44-56 in 100
Rutkowski
Wrong
gap of 12 in 100, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmicz 1803 vs Rutkowski 1662
Kuzmicz
Correct
both rated, 140 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmicz 80% vs Rutkowski 40%
Kuzmicz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmicz 70% vs Rutkowski 40%
Kuzmicz
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmicz +3 · Rutkowski +1
Kuzmicz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Kuzmicz) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmicz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmicz 1.67 / Rutkowski 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Kuzmicz)-1.5pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13268402
Kuzmicz1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 387 of 624
Up 2–0, closes it98% 164 of 167
Up 1–0, closes it81% 271 of 333
Rutkowski2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog41% won 121 of 295
Down 0–1, comes back23% 40 of 178
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmicz5wins
AwayRutkowski5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmicz100%4 of 4
AwayRutkowski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmicz4Rutkowski6n = 10Rutkowski took 6 of 10
S2Kuzmicz3Rutkowski7n = 10Rutkowski took 7 of 10
S3Kuzmicz4Rutkowski6n = 10Rutkowski took 6 of 10
S4Kuzmicz4Rutkowski4n = 8split evenly
S5Kuzmicz3Rutkowski0n = 3Kuzmicz took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmiczRutkowskiK − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.341.5−6.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmiczRutkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime752 / 1312 vs 841 / 150857.3%55.8%752 / 1312 vs 841 / 1508Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmiczKuzmicz 1.67/Rutkowski 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.4%
Kuzmicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kuzmicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 7 · 04:50J. Kuzmicz46114146113M. Rutkowski49711121182
LOct 6 · 11:45J. Kuzmicz25551231M. Rutkowski43111110113
WSep 28 · 04:00J. Kuzmicz4212811113M. Rutkowski361011781
LSep 4 · 22:50J. Kuzmicz239680M. Rutkowski331111113
WSep 3 · 21:25J. Kuzmicz45213811113M. Rutkowski51111111992
WSep 2 · 23:45J. Kuzmicz501312111133M. Rutkowski561114119112
LAug 28 · 00:35J. Kuzmicz218670M. Rutkowski331111113
LAug 26 · 15:25J. Kuzmicz34771191M. Rutkowski4211119113
WAug 21 · 16:05J. Kuzmicz3311110113M. Rutkowski32851181
LAug 21 · 00:35J. Kuzmicz346111071M. Rutkowski4011612113
J. Kuzmicz10
WOct 9 · 09:45K. Kolodziej1.851081181J. Kuzmicz1.8012114113WOct 9 · 08:30P. Jendrzejewski1.751011741J. Kuzmicz1.9512911113WOct 9 · 07:15J. Kuzmicz1.901114113K. Wloczko1.8081280LOct 9 · 06:00J. Braun1.7511512113J. Kuzmicz1.907111091WOct 9 · 04:50P. Klos1.87471181J. Kuzmicz1.8311119113WOct 9 · 03:20K. Kapik2.754580J. Kuzmicz1.401111113WOct 7 · 08:05J. Kuzmicz1.321111113D. Kosmal3.103790LOct 7 · 06:25J. Zochniak2.17111356123J. Kuzmicz1.628111111102LOct 7 · 05:35K. Kapik2.051211712113J. Kuzmicz1.65107111492WOct 7 · 04:50J. Kuzmicz1.75114146113M. Rutkowski1.97711121182
M. Rutkowski10
WOct 9 · 09:00J. Braun1.20118851M. Rutkowski4.2021111113LOct 8 · 14:15K. Kapik1.83111110123M. Rutkowski1.836612101LOct 8 · 13:25P. Jendrzejewski1.471211911123M. Rutkowski2.40144113102WOct 8 · 11:20J. Stecyszyn1.4211981172M. Rutkowski2.66811116113LOct 8 · 10:30G. Poliniewicz1.8511116143M. Rutkowski1.807311121WOct 8 · 09:00J. Mitas2.00117111552M. Rutkowski1.71511517113WOct 7 · 13:50K. Kapik1.951110891M. Rutkowski1.7581211113LOct 7 · 13:00J. Stecyszyn1.461211113M. Rutkowski2.5010750LOct 7 · 12:10M. Rutkowski3.059450K. Wloczko1.301111113LOct 7 · 04:50J. Kuzmicz1.75114146113M. Rutkowski1.97711121182
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