TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Milan Flesar vs Jan Kabelka · TT Cup
TT CupHall 44 - B4 · Prague
Starts 18:05Scheduled
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Head to head
13 – 9
All 22 meetings · 59.1%
Last 10 · 6–4Same side
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Price verdict
No edgeThe price already says it
Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.
Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.
Round robin · match 1 of 6
0 of 6 playedHall 44 - B4 · Prague · Group 9 of 13 on the day's ladder
Round robin before this match
| # | Player | W–L | Sets | To play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| = | Jan KabelkaThis match | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3 |
| = | Ladislav Vosyka | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3 |
| = | Milan FlesarThis match | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3 |
| = | Tomas Motacek | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3 |
Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFlesar 1.533 / Kabelka 2.375
TT Cup · #13267949
Flesar1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 76 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it96% 48 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it78% 64 of 82
Kabelka2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 06)
Won last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog45% won 56 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back28% 20 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFlesar6wins
AwayKabelka4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFlesar leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFlesar85.7%6 of 7
AwayKabelka100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Flesar7Kabelka3n = 10Flesar took 7 of 10
S2Flesar6Kabelka4n = 10Flesar took 6 of 10
S3Flesar5Kabelka5n = 10split evenly
S4Flesar6Kabelka2n = 8Flesar took 6 of 8
S5Flesar1Kabelka3n = 4Kabelka took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFlesarKabelkaF − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.138.6+4.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFlesarKabelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime249 / 477 vs 147 / 30052.2%49%249 / 477 vs 147 / 300Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 6 · 18:35M. Flesar3811124113J. Kabelka355101191
WOct 4 · 18:35M. Flesar381116113J. Kabelka2871470
LAug 26 · 19:35M. Flesar35138861J. Kabelka44111111113
WAug 25 · 19:05M. Flesar341111123J. Kabelka1936100
LAug 14 · 15:35M. Flesar541411712102J. Kabelka551661110123
LAug 6 · 19:05M. Flesar4461111792J. Kabelka46114911113
WJul 23 · 21:50M. Flesar4013511113J. Kabelka361111861
WJul 23 · 18:35M. Flesar531113711113J. Kabelka4051511452
WJul 21 · 19:35M. Flesar49121511113J. Kabelka351017261
LJul 17 · 19:05M. Flesar4681171192J. Kabelka48118117113
M. Flesar10
WOct 8 · 21:05M. Flesar—1111113D. Hons—6770LOct 8 · 20:05M. Flesar2.001111117112D. Hons1.73135811133WOct 8 · 19:05M. Flesar1.57119611113M. Chmelicek2.2571111392LOct 8 · 18:05M. Flesar2.00410111392J. Martin1.731112911113LOct 6 · 21:39M. Flesar1.831177111T. Krcil1.8321111133WOct 6 · 20:05T. Krcil1.91115912112M. Flesar1.808111110133WOct 6 · 19:35J. Vidourek2.204970M. Flesar1.611111113WOct 6 · 18:35M. Flesar1.6711124113J. Kabelka2.105101191WOct 6 · 17:28M. Flesar1.10111311113J. Manhal Jr6.501311751WOct 6 · 16:35M. Flesar1.911111113J. Manhal Jr1.806550
J. Kabelka10
WOct 6 · 21:08J. Kabelka1.91511121113J. Vidourek1.80116101172WOct 6 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.25741111113J. Vidourek1.5711118992LOct 6 · 19:05T. Krcil1.44111110113J. Kabelka2.63481281LOct 6 · 18:35M. Flesar1.6711124113J. Kabelka2.105101191LOct 4 · 21:10J. Martin1.3311912113J. Kabelka3.259111071LOct 4 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.103670J. Martin1.671111113WOct 4 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.3012681162J. Kabelka3.401011118113LOct 4 · 18:35M. Flesar1.731116113J. Kabelka2.0071470WSep 29 · 21:14J. Kabelka1.6161111113M. Cyrus2.20115791WSep 29 · 20:35J. Kabelka1.7311119113M. Cyrus2.00921131
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