TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Michal Machelski vs Michal Wolny · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Starts 04:40Scheduled
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Head to head
8 – 16
All 24 meetings · 33.3%
Last 10 · 3–7Same side
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Both players are 5–5 over their last ten. The difference is the direction: Michal Machelski arrives off a win, Michal Wolny off a loss, and the streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 6h before this match
Wolny beat Machelski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMachelski 2.35 / Wolny 1.53
TT Elite Series · #13267357
Machelski2.35
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 118 of 364
Down 0–1, comes back20% 42 of 213
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 125
Wolny1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 60 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it84% 48 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMachelski3wins
AwayWolny7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderWolny leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMachelski33.3%1 of 3
AwayWolny71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Machelski3Wolny7n = 10Wolny took 7 of 10
S2Machelski4Wolny6n = 10Wolny took 6 of 10
S3Machelski5Wolny5n = 10split evenly
S4Machelski4Wolny3n = 7Machelski took 4 of 7
S5Machelski1Wolny3n = 4Wolny took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMachelskiWolnyM − WBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.242.2−6.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachelskiWolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime397 / 1077 vs 275 / 58136.9%47.3%397 / 1077 vs 275 / 581Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.636.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 8 · 22:40M. Machelski2351260M. Wolny361114113
WSep 28 · 04:50M. Machelski3631111113M. Wolny34118781
WSep 7 · 06:25M. Machelski48712711113M. Wolny46111011952
LJul 27 · 08:20M. Machelski4611911782M. Wolny50911811113
LJul 20 · 08:45M. Machelski31781151M. Wolny4011117113
LMay 18 · 22:00M. Machelski2681350M. Wolny371115113
WApr 3 · 05:05M. Machelski361111143M. Wolny2897120
LFeb 16 · 05:00M. Machelski34118871M. Wolny4291111113
LJan 29 · 01:45M. Machelski40211411122M. Wolny54119119143
LJan 22 · 00:30M. Machelski42310111442M. Wolny551112912113
M. Machelski10
WOct 9 · 03:05A. Krezel1.39115371M. Machelski2.8091111113WOct 9 · 02:20A. Barton4.00311831M. Machelski1.2211711113WOct 9 · 01:30M. Machelski3.351117913113J. Zelezik1.23915111562LOct 9 · 00:20M. Machelski3.40161111121J. Michalik1.2818133143LOct 8 · 22:40M. Machelski2.3051260M. Wolny1.551114113LOct 8 · 21:05A. Krezel1.42811511113M. Machelski2.6011811972WOct 8 · 20:20J. Michalik1.417880M. Machelski2.601111113LOct 8 · 19:30M. Machelski1.7471161192J. Zelezik1.99119117113WOct 8 · 18:20M. Machelski6.5012811113D. Molenda1.111011951LOct 7 · 04:30M. Machelski2.359980M. Brunner1.501111113
M. Wolny10
LOct 9 · 03:55J. Zelezik1.24111113123M. Wolny3.807915101WOct 9 · 01:55A. Krezel1.2798111282M. Wolny3.201111710113LOct 9 · 01:10J. Michalik1.7011611113M. Wolny2.00811681WOct 8 · 23:30A. Barton3.805650M. Wolny1.201111113WOct 8 · 22:40M. Machelski2.3051260M. Wolny1.551114113LOct 8 · 21:55J. Zelezik1.231111113M. Wolny3.355870LOct 8 · 19:55A. Krezel1.5012118113M. Wolny2.401051161LOct 8 · 19:10D. Molenda1.151111133M. Wolny5.0097110WOct 8 · 17:30J. Michalik1.6781151342M. Wolny2.101181111113WOct 5 · 08:45M. Wolny1.201111113T. Kordaszewski3.807840
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