TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Michal Machelski vs Marian Brunner 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911811––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
911911811––––
H2H Michal Machelski 11–33 Marian Brunner Michal Machelski has won 11 of their 44 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 10h before this match
Brunner beat Machelski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brunner form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMachelski 2.35 / Brunner 1.50
TT Elite Series · #13257439
Machelski2.35
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 9
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 118 of 363
Down 0–1, comes back20% 42 of 212
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 124
Brunner1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
As favourite62% won 63 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it90% 35 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it81% 50 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMachelski2wins
AwayBrunner8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBrunner leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMachelski28.6%2 of 7
AwayBrunner100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Machelski7Brunner3n = 10Machelski took 7 of 10
S2Machelski2Brunner8n = 10Brunner took 8 of 10
S3Machelski3Brunner7n = 10Brunner took 7 of 10
S4Machelski3Brunner5n = 8Brunner took 5 of 8
S5Machelski1Brunner4n = 5Brunner took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMachelskiBrunnerM − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.941.1−5.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachelskiBrunnerBasisWin rate · lifetime399 / 1086 vs 283 / 59036.7%48%399 / 1086 vs 283 / 590Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BrunnerMachelski 2.35/Brunner 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
0–3
Brunner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 6 · 18:45M. Machelski29118461M. Brunner3521111113
LSep 9 · 04:20M. Machelski3611811332M. Brunner42611311113
WJul 22 · 00:20M. Machelski44111174113M. Brunner4086111142
WJul 21 · 20:20M. Machelski4111613113M. Brunner377111181
LMay 27 · 03:05M. Machelski4111118832M. Brunner46941111113
LMay 26 · 21:05M. Machelski43115311132M. Brunner52911116153
LMay 20 · 03:30M. Machelski249690M. Brunner331111113
LMay 19 · 21:30M. Machelski2781180M. Brunner351113113
LApr 1 · 00:45M. Machelski28119531M. Brunner4071111113
LMar 25 · 01:45M. Machelski46581112102M. Brunner511111710123
M. Machelski10
LOct 7 · 03:25M. Machelski—10760D. Bartosik—1211113LOct 7 · 02:20M. Machelski2.87311791A. Fomin1.3711411113LOct 7 · 00:45H. Tkaczyk—6111111113M. Machelski—11137552LOct 6 · 23:55M. Machelski3.147970M. Zielinski1.321111113LOct 6 · 22:20M. Machelski4.8014671162H. Tkaczyk1.161211116113LOct 6 · 21:05M. Machelski—1310981D. Bartosik—111211113LOct 6 · 19:55M. Machelski2.756660A. Fomin1.401111113LOct 6 · 18:45M. Brunner1.6021111113M. Machelski2.20118461LOct 6 · 17:55M. Machelski3.459770M. Zielinski1.261111113WOct 6 · 02:45M. Machelski2.051111113A. Staniczek1.663970
M. Brunner10
LOct 7 · 03:50H. Tkaczyk—161111123M. Brunner—1878101LOct 7 · 03:05M. Brunner4.105980M. Zielinski1.211111113WOct 7 · 01:10M. Brunner1.943A. Fomin1.782LOct 7 · 00:20D. Bartosik—91112113M. Brunner—1131071LOct 6 · 23:05M. Brunner3.505750M. Zielinski1.271111113LOct 6 · 21:30M. Brunner3.90134541H. Tkaczyk1.22111111113LOct 6 · 20:20M. Brunner—51141152D. Bartosik—119119113WOct 6 · 18:45M. Brunner1.6021111113M. Machelski2.20118461LOct 6 · 17:30M. Brunner2.75881131A. Fomin1.4011115113WSep 30 · 04:40A. Fomin1.408460M. Brunner2.751111113
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