TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Henryk Tkaczyk vs Marian Brunner 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
16181171181210––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:47 and never touched: 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeHenryk Tkaczyk to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
16181171181210––
H2H Henryk Tkaczyk 45–17 Marian Brunner Marian Brunner has won 17 of their 62 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Tkaczyk beat Brunner 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:47What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
No price
—
No value
no price published for this match
H2H
45-17 in 62
Tkaczyk
Correct
gap of 28 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tkaczyk 1515 vs Brunner 1280
Tkaczyk
Correct
both rated, 234 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkaczyk 80% vs Brunner 20%
Tkaczyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkaczyk 50% vs Brunner 30%
Tkaczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkaczyk -1 · Brunner -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% · Clear lean (leans Tkaczyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
No odds data available
TT Elite Series · #13249491
Tkaczyk
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Brunner
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
33%takes the first set · 3 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTkaczyk8wins
AwayBrunner2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTkaczyk leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTkaczyk100%5 of 5
AwayBrunner40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkaczyk5Brunner5n = 10split evenly
S2Tkaczyk3Brunner7n = 10Brunner took 7 of 10
S3Tkaczyk9Brunner1n = 10Tkaczyk took 9 of 10
S4Tkaczyk6Brunner3n = 9Tkaczyk took 6 of 9
S5Tkaczyk3Brunner0n = 3Tkaczyk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTkaczykBrunnerT − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.737.1+3.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkaczykBrunnerBasisWin rate · lifetime1031 / 1515 vs 283 / 58968.1%48.1%1031 / 1515 vs 283 / 589Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
TkaczykRead onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Tkaczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tkaczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 6 · 21:30H. Tkaczyk44111111113M. Brunner26134541
LSep 9 · 03:30H. Tkaczyk24461131M. Brunner4111118113
WSep 8 · 21:30H. Tkaczyk4611611183M. Brunner417117161
WSep 2 · 02:45H. Tkaczyk351113113M. Brunner2441190
WSep 1 · 18:45H. Tkaczyk485111110113M. Brunner4711981272
WAug 12 · 04:20H. Tkaczyk43641111113M. Brunner3811116822
WAug 11 · 18:45H. Tkaczyk531141511123M. Brunner54811178102
LAug 5 · 02:45H. Tkaczyk307211101M. Brunner3811114123
WAug 4 · 23:05H. Tkaczyk4211811123M. Brunner368117101
WJul 29 · 01:55H. Tkaczyk4211911113M. Brunner26611811
H. Tkaczyk10
LOct 7 · 02:45H. Tkaczyk—111191192D. Bartosik—137114113WOct 7 · 00:45H. Tkaczyk—6111111113M. Machelski—11137552WOct 6 · 23:30H. Tkaczyk—11129113A. Fomin—6101161WOct 6 · 22:20M. Machelski4.8014671162H. Tkaczyk1.161211116113WOct 6 · 21:30M. Brunner3.90134541H. Tkaczyk1.22111111113LOct 6 · 20:45H. Tkaczyk1.831110491M. Zielinski1.8351211113LOct 6 · 19:10H. Tkaczyk1.627111111132A. Fomin2.18117713153LOct 6 · 18:20D. Bartosik—471112113H. Tkaczyk—111141092WOct 6 · 01:30M. Leczycki4.5067111132H. Tkaczyk1.17111159113LOct 6 · 00:50A. Krezel2.257141011113H. Tkaczyk1.57111212962
M. Brunner10
LOct 7 · 03:05M. Brunner4.105980M. Zielinski1.211111113WOct 7 · 01:10M. Brunner1.943A. Fomin1.782LOct 7 · 00:20D. Bartosik—91112113M. Brunner—1131071LOct 6 · 23:05M. Brunner3.505750M. Zielinski1.271111113LOct 6 · 21:30M. Brunner3.90134541H. Tkaczyk1.22111111113LOct 6 · 20:20M. Brunner—51141152D. Bartosik—119119113WOct 6 · 18:45M. Brunner1.6021111113M. Machelski2.20118461LOct 6 · 17:30M. Brunner2.75881131A. Fomin1.4011115113WSep 30 · 04:40A. Fomin1.408460M. Brunner2.751111113LSep 30 · 03:30J. Michalik1.661110117113M. Brunner2.1051281182
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