TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ruslan Ivanov vs Artem Kasyanov · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Starts 16:30Scheduled
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Head to head
8 – 7
All 15 meetings · 53.3%
Last 10 · 5–5
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Artem Kasyanov arrives off 4 straight losses. The streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 4h before this match
Ivanov beat Kasyanov 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Price verdict
No edgeThe price already says it
Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.
Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvanov 1.615 / Kasyanov 2.20
Setka Cup · #13266144
Ivanov1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite71% won 63 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it88% 44 of 50
Kasyanov2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 38 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back26% 11 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIvanov5wins
AwayKasyanov5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvanov60%3 of 5
AwayKasyanov60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivanov5Kasyanov5n = 10split evenly
S2Ivanov5Kasyanov5n = 10split evenly
S3Ivanov5Kasyanov5n = 10split evenly
S4Ivanov3Kasyanov3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricIvanovKasyanovI − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.235.3−1.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvanovKasyanovBasisWin rate · lifetime87 / 132 vs 371 / 66565.9%55.8%87 / 132 vs 371 / 665Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 9 · 13:00R. Ivanov331111113A. Kasyanov269890
LOct 2 · 12:00R. Ivanov29611661A. Kasyanov3911611113
WSep 11 · 15:00R. Ivanov3621211113A. Kasyanov261110411
WSep 10 · 15:00R. Ivanov43111011113A. Kasyanov26412371
LAug 28 · 16:30R. Ivanov206590A. Kasyanov331111113
LAug 28 · 13:00R. Ivanov31123971A. Kasyanov43101111113
WAug 27 · 12:00R. Ivanov391711113A. Kasyanov2615830
LAug 21 · 14:30R. Ivanov2271050A. Kasyanov341112113
LAug 20 · 12:00R. Ivanov3711211762A. Kasyanov47611811113
WAug 14 · 14:30R. Ivanov526121111123A. Kasyanov531110139102
R. Ivanov10
WOct 9 · 13:00A. Kasyanov2.209890R. Ivanov1.611111113LOct 9 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn1.7311411113R. Ivanov2.00611561WOct 8 · 16:58A. Lushchyk3.7512611692R. Ivanov1.251011311113LOct 8 · 16:30M. Baday2.251111113R. Ivanov1.572960LOct 8 · 15:00R. Ivanov2.2010370I. Fedoryshyn1.611211113WOct 8 · 13:30R. Ivanov1.2512115113A. Lushchyk3.751081141WOct 8 · 12:00R. Ivanov1.256111011113S. Chuhai3.7511812982LOct 2 · 17:34R. Ivanov1.738611101M. Baday2.0011119123WOct 2 · 16:30M. Baday1.918111081R. Ivanov1.8011412113WOct 2 · 15:00R. Ivanov1.331111123S. Chuhai3.2595100
A. Kasyanov10
LOct 9 · 14:00A. Kasyanov2.2068110I. Fedoryshyn1.611111133LOct 9 · 13:00A. Kasyanov2.209890R. Ivanov1.611111113LOct 9 · 12:00A. Kasyanov1.6171191142S. Chuhai2.20116115113LOct 6 · 16:00A. Lushchyk2.381211113A. Kasyanov1.5310780WOct 6 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.8091111882A. Kasyanov1.91116811113LOct 6 · 13:00M. Baday1.3611211113A. Kasyanov3.00711461LOct 6 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.251311118113A. Kasyanov1.57117131192WOct 2 · 16:00S. Chuhai2.104580A. Kasyanov1.671111113LOct 2 · 14:30A. Lushchyk2.38611311113A. Kasyanov1.5311811592LOct 2 · 13:00M. Baday1.4011911113A. Kasyanov2.75811741
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