TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Chuhai vs Artem Kasyanov · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Starts 17:00Scheduled
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Head to head
80 – 101
All 181 meetings · 44.2%
Last 10 · 5–5
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Neither player arrives off a win: both lost their last one. The streak signal has nobody to back here.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 5h before this match
Chuhai beat Kasyanov 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Price verdict
No edgeThe price already says it
Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.
Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChuhai 2.20 / Kasyanov 1.615
Setka Cup · #13265897
Chuhai2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 82 of 244
Down 0–1, comes back20% 29 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 86
Kasyanov1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 77 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it94% 46 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it81% 58 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChuhai5wins
AwayKasyanov5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChuhai83.3%5 of 6
AwayKasyanov100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chuhai6Kasyanov4n = 10Chuhai took 6 of 10
S2Chuhai3Kasyanov7n = 10Kasyanov took 7 of 10
S3Chuhai4Kasyanov6n = 10Kasyanov took 6 of 10
S4Chuhai3Kasyanov3n = 6split evenly
S5Chuhai2Kasyanov1n = 3Chuhai took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricChuhaiKasyanovC − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.137.7+0.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChuhaiKasyanovBasisWin rate · lifetime478 / 947 vs 371 / 66550.5%55.8%478 / 947 vs 371 / 665Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 9 · 12:00S. Chuhai44116115113A. Kasyanov4271191142
WOct 6 · 12:00S. Chuhai541311118113A. Kasyanov51117131192
LOct 2 · 16:00S. Chuhai174580A. Kasyanov331111113
WSep 29 · 12:00S. Chuhai4211118123A. Kasyanov305411101
LSep 18 · 12:00S. Chuhai31129100A. Kasyanov371411123
WSep 17 · 16:00S. Chuhai331111113A. Kasyanov158250
LSep 17 · 13:30S. Chuhai537141111102A. Kasyanov53111659123
LSep 15 · 17:00S. Chuhai2987140A. Kasyanov381111163
LSep 15 · 12:00S. Chuhai361168111A. Kasyanov4491111133
WSep 11 · 16:00S. Chuhai4211911113A. Kasyanov34811781
S. Chuhai10
LOct 9 · 13:30I. Fedoryshyn1.5314711113S. Chuhai2.381211461WOct 9 · 12:00A. Kasyanov1.6171191142S. Chuhai2.20116115113LOct 8 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn1.5011117113S. Chuhai2.50881141LOct 8 · 14:30A. Lushchyk1.731111123S. Chuhai2.0056100LOct 8 · 13:00M. Baday1.5011118123S. Chuhai2.507311101LOct 8 · 12:00R. Ivanov1.256111011113S. Chuhai3.7511812982LOct 7 · 11:00A. Vasylets2.5011611113S. Chuhai1.50911561WOct 7 · 10:00O. Syksa4.50108110S. Chuhai1.171211133WOct 7 · 08:30M. Hubenko2.7511612792S. Chuhai1.409111011113WOct 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.334970S. Chuhai1.201111113
A. Kasyanov10
LOct 9 · 14:00A. Kasyanov2.2068110I. Fedoryshyn1.611111133LOct 9 · 13:00A. Kasyanov2.209890R. Ivanov1.611111113LOct 9 · 12:00A. Kasyanov1.6171191142S. Chuhai2.20116115113LOct 6 · 16:00A. Lushchyk2.381211113A. Kasyanov1.5310780WOct 6 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.8091111882A. Kasyanov1.91116811113LOct 6 · 13:00M. Baday1.3611211113A. Kasyanov3.00711461LOct 6 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.251311118113A. Kasyanov1.57117131192WOct 2 · 16:00S. Chuhai2.104580A. Kasyanov1.671111113LOct 2 · 14:30A. Lushchyk2.38611311113A. Kasyanov1.5311811592LOct 2 · 13:00M. Baday1.4011911113A. Kasyanov2.75811741
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