TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Lukas Vich vs Simon Matousch 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210811411611––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:54 and never touched: 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Vich to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
1210811411611––
H2H Lukas Vich 3–3 Simon Matousch Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:5462.0%Our read64.5%to break even at 1.55
short by 2.5pp64.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.55 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (59%)
Vich
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vich 1561 vs Matousch 1361
Vich
Wrong
both rated, 199 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vich 80% vs Matousch 40%
Vich
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vich 60% vs Matousch 30%
Vich
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vich +3 · Matousch +1
Vich
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Clear lean (leans Vich) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vich form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVich 1.55 / Matousch 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Vich)-2.5pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13266101
Vich1.55
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest67%takes the first set · 6 of 9
As favourite55% won 37 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it71% 24 of 34
Matousch2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 24 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back12% 5 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeVich3wins
AwayMatousch3wins
4 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 4 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVich66.7%2 of 3
AwayMatousch66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vich3Matousch3n = 6split evenly
S2Vich3Matousch3n = 6split evenly
S3Vich2Matousch4n = 6Matousch took 4 of 6
S4Vich1Matousch4n = 5Matousch took 4 of 5
S5Vich3Matousch1n = 4Vich took 3 of 4
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home350%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricVichMatouschV − MBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match40.541.7−1.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVichMatouschBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 511 vs 146 / 33147.4%44.1%242 / 511 vs 146 / 331Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VichVich 1.55/Matousch 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Vich · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Matousch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 30 · 22:00L. Vich348114111S. Matousch3711211133
WSep 30 · 20:50L. Vich45128311113S. Matousch42101111462
WSep 14 · 22:00L. Vich511111117113S. Matousch4713871182
LSep 14 · 19:50L. Vich208570S. Matousch331111113
LAug 31 · 22:00L. Vich46111011772S. Matousch48512911113
WAug 31 · 19:20L. Vich47111186113S. Matousch4375111192
L. Vich10
WOct 8 · 18:55L. Vich1.77911911113Z. Vyskocil1.9511511662WOct 7 · 21:48L. Vich1.36111112123R. Zeman3.006814101WOct 7 · 20:50R. Zeman2.387830L. Vich1.531111113LOct 7 · 19:50L. Vich1.73611711122J. Mach2.00118114143WOct 7 · 18:20M. Nemec2.75116110L. Vich1.401311133LSep 30 · 22:00L. Vich1.738114111S. Matousch2.0011211133WSep 30 · 20:50S. Matousch2.10101111462L. Vich1.67128311113WSep 30 · 19:50L. Vich1.731111113J. Mach2.009790LSep 30 · 18:20P. Cibik1.8011121211113L. Vich1.91131014752LSep 23 · 21:59L. Vich1.910Z. Vyskocil1.803
S. Matousch10
WOct 8 · 19:25P. Cibik1.5711581182S. Matousch2.25711119113LOct 5 · 13:35S. Matousch1.8011891192M. Kolbusovsky1.90811114113LOct 5 · 12:50J. Vintr1.83117311143S. Matousch1.83811117122WOct 5 · 11:50S. Matousch1.40611911113O. Sebek2.7511611582LOct 5 · 10:20M. Kolbusovsky2.381111410113S. Matousch1.5357111292LOct 2 · 21:28T. Cerveny Jr1.36911811113S. Matousch3.0011911572LOct 2 · 20:20S. Matousch2.207830P. Cibik1.611111113LOct 2 · 19:20S. Matousch1.7311109121Z. Vyskocil2.0071211143WSep 30 · 22:00L. Vich1.738114111S. Matousch2.0011211133LSep 30 · 20:50S. Matousch2.10101111462L. Vich1.67128311113
Upcoming Matches
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S. Matousch
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