TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Bartosz Czerwinski vs Michal Minda 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1187111311118––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:27 and never touched: 59.6% is still 59.6%
Graded at full timeBartosz Czerwinski to win
59.6%
59.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
1187111311118––
H2H Bartosz Czerwinski 9–6 Michal Minda Michal Minda has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:2759.6%Our read63.3%to break even at 1.58
short by 3.7pp63.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.58 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.58 (59%)
Czerwinski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
9-6 in 15
Czerwinski
Correct
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Czerwinski 1518 vs Minda 1433
Czerwinski
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Czerwinski 60% vs Minda 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Czerwinski 60% vs Minda 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Czerwinski -1 · Minda +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Czerwinski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Minda form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCzerwinski 1.58 / Minda 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Czerwinski)-3.7pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13264898
Czerwinski1.58
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 120 of 190
Up 2–0, closes it96% 54 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it84% 86 of 103
Minda2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 128 of 336
Down 0–1, comes back23% 48 of 206
Down 0–2, comes back9% 9 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCzerwinski6wins
AwayMinda4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderCzerwinski leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCzerwinski66.7%4 of 6
AwayMinda50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Czerwinski6Minda4n = 10Czerwinski took 6 of 10
S2Czerwinski6Minda4n = 10Czerwinski took 6 of 10
S3Czerwinski4Minda6n = 10Minda took 6 of 10
S4Czerwinski5Minda2n = 7Czerwinski took 5 of 7
S5Czerwinski3Minda3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCzerwinskiMindaC − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.641.2+0.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCzerwinskiMindaBasisWin rate · lifetime490 / 1015 vs 1008 / 197348.3%51.1%490 / 1015 vs 1008 / 1973Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
CzerwinskiCzerwinski 1.58/Minda 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.6%
Czerwinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Czerwinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 7 · 13:30B. Czerwinski331111113M. Minda228770
WOct 1 · 09:25B. Czerwinski48511119123M. Minda47116911102
LSep 30 · 14:20B. Czerwinski208660M. Minda331111113
LSep 29 · 04:55B. Czerwinski4611145882M. Minda516121111113
WSep 28 · 14:20B. Czerwinski558111012143M. Minda531181210122
LSep 18 · 11:00B. Czerwinski4596111182M. Minda45111175113
WSep 9 · 08:30B. Czerwinski4011117113M. Minda35781191
WSep 8 · 06:25B. Czerwinski451121011113M. Minda4791112782
WJun 29 · 11:00B. Czerwinski361111143M. Minda2448120
LJun 17 · 06:05B. Czerwinski48137611112M. Minda551111119133
B. Czerwinski10
LOct 8 · 13:05B. Czerwinski1.80118130J. Zochniak1.911311153WOct 8 · 11:50B. Czerwinski1.361111113K. Klocek2.858570WOct 8 · 10:10B. Czerwinski1.781211113D. Solilo1.9110860LOct 8 · 09:00B. Czerwinski1.601112991B. Sulkowski2.1571411113WOct 7 · 14:40D. Solilo1.8096121152B. Czerwinski1.901111107113WOct 7 · 13:30B. Czerwinski1.631111113M. Minda2.158770WOct 7 · 12:15R. Stapor2.2916870B. Czerwinski1.561811113WOct 7 · 11:00M. Kukawka2.251311771B. Czerwinski1.5715511113LOct 7 · 09:25K. Sulkowski3.1511115113B. Czerwinski1.30971181LOct 6 · 14:20D. Solilo1.621111133B. Czerwinski2.1599110
M. Minda10
WOct 8 · 13:30M. Minda2.051171311113B. Sulkowski1.6561115472WOct 8 · 12:15J. Zochniak1.681181071M. Minda2.0541112113LOct 8 · 11:00K. Klocek1.831111113M. Minda1.899890LOct 8 · 09:25D. Solilo1.801111113M. Minda1.866760WOct 7 · 14:20M. Kukawka1.85115761M. Minda1.8061111113LOct 7 · 13:30B. Czerwinski1.631111113M. Minda2.158770LOct 7 · 11:25K. Sulkowski2.6011311113M. Minda1.44611871WOct 7 · 10:35R. Stapor2.0011118292M. Minda1.70441111113WOct 7 · 09:00D. Solilo1.83851151M. Minda1.8611117113LOct 6 · 19:40M. Minda2.75761131D. Kosmal1.4011117113
Upcoming Matches
B. Czerwinski
M. Minda
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.