TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Bartosz Czerwinski vs Bartosz Sulkowski 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1171214911911––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:54 and never touched: 59.5% is still 59.5%
Graded at full timeBartosz Czerwinski to win
59.5%
59.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
1171214911911––
H2H Bartosz Czerwinski 11–4 Bartosz Sulkowski Bartosz Sulkowski has won 4 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:5459.5%Our read62.5%to break even at 1.60
short by 3.0pp62.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.60 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Czerwinski
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
11-4 in 15
Czerwinski
Wrong
gap of 7 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Czerwinski 1520 vs Sulkowski 1529
Sulkowski
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Czerwinski 80% vs Sulkowski 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Czerwinski 60% vs Sulkowski 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Czerwinski +4 · Sulkowski +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Czerwinski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulkowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCzerwinski 1.60 / Sulkowski 2.15
Signal prob.60% / 41%
Edge (Czerwinski)-3.0pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13259187
Czerwinski1.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 120 of 190
Up 2–0, closes it96% 54 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it84% 86 of 103
Sulkowski2.15
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 07)
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 165 of 484
Down 0–1, comes back18% 51 of 284
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 138
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCzerwinski8wins
AwaySulkowski2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderCzerwinski leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCzerwinski100%6 of 6
AwaySulkowski50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Czerwinski6Sulkowski4n = 10Czerwinski took 6 of 10
S2Czerwinski7Sulkowski3n = 10Czerwinski took 7 of 10
S3Czerwinski6Sulkowski4n = 10Czerwinski took 6 of 10
S4Czerwinski6Sulkowski3n = 9Czerwinski took 6 of 9
S5Czerwinski2Sulkowski1n = 3Czerwinski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricCzerwinskiSulkowskiC − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.036.2+5.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCzerwinskiSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime488 / 1011 vs 615 / 137148.3%44.9%488 / 1011 vs 615 / 1371Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
CzerwinskiCzerwinski 1.60/Sulkowski 2.15
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.5%
Czerwinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 6 · 10:35B. Czerwinski331111113B. Sulkowski214980
LSep 22 · 09:25B. Czerwinski33912841B. Sulkowski43111011113
WSep 11 · 09:00B. Czerwinski4271113113B. Sulkowski351151181
WSep 10 · 11:00B. Czerwinski511111117113B. Sulkowski4791351192
WSep 9 · 03:20B. Czerwinski4212118113B. Sulkowski341051181
LJun 30 · 06:50B. Czerwinski46911111142B. Sulkowski52119138113
WJun 30 · 04:25B. Czerwinski4181111113B. Sulkowski28112961
WJun 29 · 14:20B. Czerwinski4111811113B. Sulkowski29611661
WJun 11 · 03:00B. Czerwinski4211911113B. Sulkowski28511571
WJun 9 · 08:10B. Czerwinski49111188113B. Sulkowski4588111172
B. Czerwinski10
WOct 7 · 14:40D. Solilo1.8096121152B. Czerwinski1.901111107113WOct 7 · 13:30B. Czerwinski1.631111113M. Minda2.158770WOct 7 · 12:15R. Stapor2.2916870B. Czerwinski1.561811113WOct 7 · 11:00M. Kukawka2.251311771B. Czerwinski1.5715511113LOct 7 · 09:25K. Sulkowski3.1511115113B. Czerwinski1.30971181LOct 6 · 14:20D. Solilo1.621111133B. Czerwinski2.1599110LOct 6 · 13:30M. Kolek1.6011119113B. Czerwinski2.20871191WOct 6 · 11:25A. Sobel1.8012611772B. Czerwinski1.851011611113WOct 6 · 10:35B. Sulkowski2.424980B. Czerwinski1.501111113LOct 6 · 09:00R. Stapor2.371115113B. Czerwinski1.5291350
B. Sulkowski10
WOct 7 · 07:40B. Wisniewski3.601191191B. Sulkowski1.2613117113WOct 7 · 06:55K. Sulkowski3.056970B. Sulkowski1.331111113WOct 7 · 06:05B. Sulkowski1.601411113J. Lamperski2.1012370LOct 7 · 04:30B. Sulkowski1.706119101M. Lukaszewski2.0011411123WOct 7 · 03:50B. Warpas2.651171071B. Sulkowski1.4061112113LOct 6 · 13:55A. Sobel1.421281210113B. Sulkowski2.551011101262WOct 6 · 13:05R. Stapor2.2591040B. Sulkowski1.541112113WOct 6 · 12:15B. Sulkowski2.3011611113M. Kolek1.52811881LOct 6 · 10:35B. Sulkowski2.424980B. Czerwinski1.501111113WOct 6 · 09:50D. Solilo1.9011611392B. Sulkowski1.76911511113
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