TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Bartosz Sulkowski vs Mikolaj Lukaszewski 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111149111012––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:27 and never touched: 75.8% is still 75.8%
Graded at full timeBartosz Sulkowski to win
75.8%
75.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
6111149111012––
H2H Bartosz Sulkowski 6–2 Mikolaj Lukaszewski Mikolaj Lukaszewski has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:2775.8%Our read58.8%to break even at 1.70
clears by 17.0pp58.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.70 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Sulkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Sulkowski
Wrong
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1523 vs Lukaszewski 1229
Sulkowski
Wrong
both rated, 294 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 60% vs Lukaszewski 40%
Sulkowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 60% vs Lukaszewski 30%
Sulkowski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski +1 · Lukaszewski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% · Strong (leans Sulkowski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 1.70 / Lukaszewski 2.00
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Sulkowski)+17.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13257385
Sulkowski1.70
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 185 of 313
Up 2–0, closes it96% 81 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it81% 131 of 161
Lukaszewski2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 248 of 613
Down 0–1, comes back13% 44 of 332
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 184
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSulkowski6wins
AwayLukaszewski2wins
3 of 8 to a deciderSulkowski leads 6–2, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowski100%3 of 3
AwayLukaszewski40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski3Lukaszewski5n = 8Lukaszewski took 5 of 8
S2Sulkowski8Lukaszewski0n = 8Sulkowski took 8 of 8
S3Sulkowski4Lukaszewski4n = 8split evenly
S4Sulkowski6Lukaszewski0n = 6Sulkowski took 6 of 6
S5Sulkowski1Lukaszewski2n = 3Lukaszewski took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricSulkowskiLukaszewskiS − LBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match42.235.2+7.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiLukaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime612 / 1367 vs 892 / 197244.8%45.2%612 / 1367 vs 892 / 1972Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiSulkowski 1.70/Lukaszewski 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.8%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lukaszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 22 · 07:20B. Sulkowski331111113M. Lukaszewski215970
WSep 18 · 22:30B. Sulkowski4111127113M. Lukaszewski335101171
WSep 4 · 07:20B. Sulkowski331111113M. Lukaszewski195770
LSep 3 · 07:40B. Sulkowski47711131152M. Lukaszewski47115155113
WAug 21 · 03:50B. Sulkowski4291111113M. Lukaszewski36117991
LJun 11 · 11:25B. Sulkowski4481181162M. Lukaszewski46117116113
WJun 11 · 07:20B. Sulkowski43101111113M. Lukaszewski32124881
WJan 7 · 16:50B. Sulkowski559111111133M. Lukaszewski48119134112
B. Sulkowski10
WOct 7 · 03:50B. Warpas2.651171071B. Sulkowski1.4061112113LOct 6 · 13:55A. Sobel1.421281210113B. Sulkowski2.551011101262WOct 6 · 13:05R. Stapor2.2591040B. Sulkowski1.541112113WOct 6 · 12:15B. Sulkowski2.3011611113M. Kolek1.52811881LOct 6 · 10:35B. Sulkowski2.424980B. Czerwinski1.501111113WOct 6 · 09:50D. Solilo1.9011611392B. Sulkowski1.76911511113WOct 5 · 14:40A. Sobel1.60119581B. Sulkowski2.1561111113LOct 5 · 13:30B. Sulkowski1.6012871192D. Solilo2.201011119113WOct 5 · 12:15J. Zochniak1.469880B. Sulkowski2.501111113LOct 5 · 11:00M. Kolek1.46117119113B. Sulkowski2.5071161192
M. Lukaszewski10
LOct 7 · 05:15B. Wisniewski2.0511118113M. Lukaszewski1.68971181LOct 7 · 03:00K. Sulkowski1.7011511113M. Lukaszewski2.00811861WOct 6 · 07:40D. Wrobel1.8551170M. Lukaszewski1.851113113WOct 6 · 06:55A. Sobel1.9776111162M. Lukaszewski1.76111147113LOct 6 · 06:05M. Lukaszewski2.5511990B. Warpas1.451311113LOct 6 · 04:30M. Lukaszewski3.105550J. Lamperski1.321111113LOct 6 · 03:50M. Kukawka1.271111113M. Lukaszewski3.306760WOct 5 · 08:10B. Warpas1.6098110M. Lukaszewski2.151111133LOct 5 · 07:20M. Kolek1.091111113M. Lukaszewski5.905550LOct 5 · 05:15B. Wisniewski1.90111111113M. Lukaszewski1.75136991
Upcoming Matches
B. Sulkowski
M. Lukaszewski
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.