TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Zochniak vs Michal Minda 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1148111012711––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:05 and never touched: 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeJakub Zochniak to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
1148111012711––
H2H Jakub Zochniak 86–65 Michal Minda Michal Minda has won 65 of their 151 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:0558.9%Our read59.5%to break even at 1.68
short by 0.6pp59.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.68 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.68 (55%)
Zochniak
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
86-65 in 151
Zochniak
Wrong
gap of 21 in 151, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zochniak 1594 vs Minda 1398
Zochniak
Wrong
both rated, 196 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zochniak 80% vs Minda 20%
Zochniak
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zochniak 50% vs Minda 30%
Zochniak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zochniak +2 · Minda -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Zochniak) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Minda form (20%) is below what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZochniak 1.68 / Minda 2.05
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Zochniak)-0.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13264293
Zochniak1.68
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 313 of 468
Up 2–0, closes it95% 154 of 163
Up 1–0, closes it79% 237 of 299
Minda2.05
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog38% won 128 of 336
Down 0–1, comes back23% 48 of 206
Down 0–2, comes back9% 9 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZochniak7wins
AwayMinda3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZochniak leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZochniak100%6 of 6
AwayMinda75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zochniak6Minda4n = 10Zochniak took 6 of 10
S2Zochniak6Minda4n = 10Zochniak took 6 of 10
S3Zochniak6Minda4n = 10Zochniak took 6 of 10
S4Zochniak5Minda3n = 8Zochniak took 5 of 8
S5Zochniak2Minda2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZochniakMindaZ − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match44.640.0+4.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZochniakMindaBasisWin rate · lifetime1137 / 2180 vs 1007 / 197352.2%51%1137 / 2180 vs 1007 / 1973Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZochniakZochniak 1.68/Minda 2.05
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Zochniak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Minda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 1 · 11:25J. Zochniak4111811113M. Minda30511591
WSep 30 · 13:30J. Zochniak55131199133M. Minda531191111112
WSep 28 · 11:25J. Zochniak45121111113M. Minda32145671
LSep 25 · 13:55J. Zochniak238780M. Minda331111113
WSep 24 · 16:30J. Zochniak5311101110113M. Minda4071241252
WSep 23 · 14:20J. Zochniak51121011183M. Minda4410126161
LSep 18 · 13:30J. Zochniak49513811122M. Minda561111119143
LSep 17 · 14:20J. Zochniak51111111992M. Minda52138911113
WSep 16 · 15:45J. Zochniak341111123M. Minda2376100
WSep 7 · 06:25J. Zochniak44111111113M. Minda37881381
J. Zochniak10
WOct 8 · 10:35J. Zochniak2.05511811113B. Sulkowski1.6911911992WOct 8 · 09:50K. Klocek3.3079111462J. Zochniak1.271111412113LOct 7 · 07:40J. Zochniak3.85881151K. Wloczko1.2011118113WOct 7 · 06:25J. Zochniak2.17111356123J. Kuzmicz1.628111111102WOct 7 · 05:15J. Zochniak1.95111011113D. Kosmal1.70912941LOct 7 · 04:00K. Kapik1.33111197113J. Zochniak3.1074111182LOct 7 · 03:20J. Zochniak2.4681012121M. Rutkowski1.42111210143WOct 5 · 13:55M. Zwolinski5.20391331J. Zochniak1.12111111113LOct 5 · 13:05A. Sobel1.85911119113J. Zochniak1.8511641142LOct 5 · 12:15J. Zochniak1.469880B. Sulkowski2.501111113
M. Minda10
LOct 8 · 11:00K. Klocek1.831111113M. Minda1.899890LOct 8 · 09:25D. Solilo1.801111113M. Minda1.866760WOct 7 · 14:20M. Kukawka1.85115761M. Minda1.8061111113LOct 7 · 13:30B. Czerwinski1.631111113M. Minda2.158770LOct 7 · 11:25K. Sulkowski2.6011311113M. Minda1.44611871WOct 7 · 10:35R. Stapor2.0011118292M. Minda1.70441111113WOct 7 · 09:00D. Solilo1.83851151M. Minda1.8611117113LOct 6 · 19:40M. Minda2.75761131D. Kosmal1.4011117113LOct 6 · 18:30M. Minda2.1010780L. Pietraszko1.671211113LOct 6 · 17:20M. Minda1.80101200P. Blocho1.911214113
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