TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vladimir Voronenko vs Andrii Hrabskyi 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191012118119––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:46 and never touched: 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeAndrii Hrabskyi to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVladimir Voronenko above · Andrii Hrabskyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 81 set 4, 11-9 · our read held Andrii Hrabskyi at 59.3%
81 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Voronenko 21–28 Andrii Hrabskyi Vladimir Voronenko has won 21 of their 49 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:4659.3%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 4.4pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hrabskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
21-28 in 49
Hrabskyi
Wrong
gap of 7 in 49, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voronenko 1617 vs Hrabskyi 1585
Voronenko
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voronenko 40% vs Hrabskyi 0%
Voronenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voronenko 30% vs Hrabskyi 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Voronenko -1 · Hrabskyi -7
Hrabskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Hrabskyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrabskyi form (0%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoronenko 2.25 / Hrabskyi 1.571
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Hrabskyi)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13262063
Voronenko2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 13 days ago (Sep 25) · back after a break
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 51 of 149
Down 0–1, comes back15% 12 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 41
Hrabskyi1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 05)
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 66 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it97% 35 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it81% 54 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVoronenko3wins
AwayHrabskyi7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderHrabskyi leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoronenko66.7%2 of 3
AwayHrabskyi85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voronenko3Hrabskyi7n = 10Hrabskyi took 7 of 10
S2Voronenko7Hrabskyi3n = 10Voronenko took 7 of 10
S3Voronenko4Hrabskyi6n = 10Hrabskyi took 6 of 10
S4Voronenko3Hrabskyi6n = 9Hrabskyi took 6 of 9
S5Voronenko2Hrabskyi4n = 6Hrabskyi took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVoronenkoHrabskyiV − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.643.5−2.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoronenkoHrabskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 518 vs 249 / 57944.8%43%232 / 518 vs 249 / 579Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HrabskyiVoronenko 2.25/Hrabskyi 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Hrabskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Voronenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 25 · 16:40V. Voronenko4571441372A. Hrabskyi5611121111113
LSep 18 · 10:40V. Voronenko4691111782A. Hrabskyi46115811113
WSep 14 · 14:40V. Voronenko48714412113A. Hrabskyi501112111062
LSep 11 · 15:10V. Voronenko34871181A. Hrabskyi4111118113
LSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko4691111782A. Hrabskyi46116711113
LAug 31 · 16:40V. Voronenko33881161A. Hrabskyi4211119113
LAug 24 · 10:40V. Voronenko249870A. Hrabskyi331111113
WAug 21 · 10:40V. Voronenko46111275113A. Hrabskyi43710111142
LAug 17 · 10:40V. Voronenko3811114572A. Hrabskyi46581111113
WAug 14 · 16:40V. Voronenko46111112123A. Hrabskyi324414101
V. Voronenko10
LOct 8 · 13:30V. Voronenko2.10101181182A. Lievshin1.67126117113LSep 25 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2071441372A. Hrabskyi1.6111121111113WSep 25 · 15:10V. Voronenko1.80141111113Y. Shmyndra1.91168471LSep 25 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.5715710P. Plakushchyi2.251711113WSep 25 · 12:10V. Voronenko2.101111610113A. Lievshin1.6779111242LSep 18 · 10:40V. Voronenko2.2091111782A. Hrabskyi1.61115811113LSep 14 · 16:40V. Marushchak1.4471111113V. Voronenko2.63115221LSep 14 · 15:40V. Voronenko2.75118681A. Yurkov1.4051111113WSep 14 · 14:40V. Voronenko2.25714412113A. Hrabskyi1.571112111062LSep 14 · 13:10V. Voronenko2.7571141152O. Kolbasenko1.40117114113
A. Hrabskyi10
LOct 8 · 13:00V. Marushchak1.441112113A. Hrabskyi2.6391080LOct 5 · 18:30V. Marushchak1.5011711113A. Hrabskyi2.50911671LOct 5 · 17:30A. Yurkov1.8311121211123A. Hrabskyi1.839101413102LOct 5 · 16:00O. Kolbasenko1.44911117113A. Hrabskyi2.6311591192LOct 5 · 14:00A. Lievshin1.331112143A. Hrabskyi3.25610120LOct 5 · 12:00P. Plakushchyi1.91121271123A. Hrabskyi1.8010101111102LOct 2 · 17:10V. Savoliuk2.501111153A. Hrabskyi1.5086140WSep 25 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2071441372A. Hrabskyi1.6111121111113WSep 18 · 10:40V. Voronenko2.2091111782A. Hrabskyi1.61115811113LSep 14 · 14:40V. Voronenko2.25714412113A. Hrabskyi1.571112111062
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