TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Savoliuk vs Andrii Hrabskyi 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181161514––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:08 and never touched: 63.2% is still 63.2%
Graded at full timeAndrii Hrabskyi to win
63.2%
63.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Savoliuk above · Andrii Hrabskyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 15-14
Point 65 set 3, 15-14 · our read held Andrii Hrabskyi at 63.2%
65 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Savoliuk 3–10 Andrii Hrabskyi Volodymyr Savoliuk has won 3 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:0863.2%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 3.5pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hrabskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-10 in 13
Hrabskyi
Wrong
gap of 7 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Savoliuk 1757 vs Hrabskyi 1626
Savoliuk
Correct
both rated, 131 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Savoliuk 80% vs Hrabskyi 60%
Savoliuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Savoliuk 80% vs Hrabskyi 40%
Savoliuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Savoliuk +3 · Hrabskyi -1
Savoliuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Hrabskyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Savoliuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSavoliuk 2.50 / Hrabskyi 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Hrabskyi)-3.5pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13229180
Savoliuk2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 13 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Hrabskyi1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 67 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it97% 36 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it81% 55 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSavoliuk1wins
AwayHrabskyi9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHrabskyi leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSavoliukn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHrabskyi100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Savoliuk2Hrabskyi8n = 10Hrabskyi took 8 of 10
S2Savoliuk2Hrabskyi8n = 10Hrabskyi took 8 of 10
S3Savoliuk4Hrabskyi5n = 9Hrabskyi took 5 of 9
S4Savoliuk1Hrabskyi5n = 6Hrabskyi took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSavoliukHrabskyiS − HBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.339.8−7.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSavoliukHrabskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime307 / 541 vs 249 / 57456.8%43.4%307 / 541 vs 249 / 574Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HrabskyiSavoliuk 2.50/Hrabskyi 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.2%
Hrabskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Savoliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 8 · 16:40V. Savoliuk32511881A. Hrabskyi3811511113
LSep 4 · 15:40V. Savoliuk2591060A. Hrabskyi341112113
LJul 8 · 09:50V. Savoliuk187470A. Hrabskyi331111113
LJul 1 · 07:50V. Savoliuk368101171A. Hrabskyi4011126113
LJun 29 · 11:10V. Savoliuk32581181A. Hrabskyi4211119113
LJun 22 · 17:10V. Savoliuk44611121142A. Hrabskyi511113106113
LFeb 25 · 09:50V. Savoliuk408911121A. Hrabskyi4311117143
LFeb 11 · 13:20V. Savoliuk371261091A. Hrabskyi44101112113
LFeb 10 · 22:20V. Savoliuk279990A. Hrabskyi331111113
V. Savoliuk10
WOct 2 · 14:10V. Savoliuk1.8311115113A. Lievshin1.83781171WOct 2 · 13:10O. Seliuchenko2.00126116102V. Savoliuk1.731011811123WOct 1 · 19:00V. Savoliuk1.4011511113O. Strutinskiy2.75711491LOct 1 · 17:00A. Nazarov2.1011119113V. Savoliuk1.67971181WOct 1 · 15:00Y. Riadynskyi1.6714912982V. Savoliuk2.1012111011113WOct 1 · 14:00V. Savoliuk1.671181311143O. Seliuchenko2.10311155122LOct 1 · 13:00A. Derevianko2.201110115113V. Savoliuk1.6191271132WSep 29 · 12:50V. Savoliuk1.5013811113I. Nitchenko2.501111281WSep 29 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.0021161192V. Savoliuk1.73118116113WSep 29 · 08:50E. Hrytsenko2.75614161V. Savoliuk1.40111211113
A. Hrabskyi10
LOct 2 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.331311113A. Hrabskyi3.2511570WOct 2 · 14:40O. Seliuchenko2.00811131282A. Hrabskyi1.731151114113WOct 2 · 12:40V. Marushchak1.50101070A. Hrabskyi2.501212113WSep 30 · 12:20A. Hrabskyi1.731361410113M. Deineha2.001111121222LSep 30 · 10:20O. Kolbasenko1.4411512113A. Hrabskyi2.636111091WSep 30 · 09:20A. Hrabskyi3.251110611143A. Lievshin1.33612119122LSep 30 · 08:20A. Yurkov1.8091111113A. Hrabskyi1.91118891LSep 30 · 06:50A. Hrabskyi1.8078171142P. Plakushchyi1.911111158113LSep 29 · 15:30V. Marushchak1.571311113A. Hrabskyi2.2511290LSep 29 · 14:30A. Hrabskyi2.00811911112A. Yurkov1.73117117133
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