TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Rafal Gajda vs Oliwier Sokolowski 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911711116811––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:04 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRafal Gajda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
911711116811––
H2H Rafal Gajda 5–3 Oliwier Sokolowski Oliwier Sokolowski has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:0454.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.6pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Gajda
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Gajda
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gajda 1376 vs Sokolowski 1330
Gajda
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gajda 60% vs Sokolowski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gajda 70% vs Sokolowski 50%
Gajda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gajda +1 · Sokolowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Gajda) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGajda 1.80 / Sokolowski 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Gajda)-1.6pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13258721
Gajda1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 154 of 264
Up 2–0, closes it92% 75 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it74% 111 of 150
Sokolowski1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 131 of 349
Down 0–1, comes back21% 43 of 209
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeGajda5wins
AwaySokolowski3wins
2 of 8 to a deciderGajda leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGajda83.3%5 of 6
AwaySokolowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gajda6Sokolowski2n = 8Gajda took 6 of 8
S2Gajda6Sokolowski2n = 8Gajda took 6 of 8
S3Gajda4Sokolowski4n = 8split evenly
S4Gajda4Sokolowski2n = 6Gajda took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricGajdaSokolowskiG − SBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match40.136.8+3.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGajdaSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime453 / 874 vs 276 / 63651.8%43.4%453 / 874 vs 276 / 636Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GajdaGajda 1.80/Sokolowski 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Gajda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 18 · 14:20R. Gajda4211119113O. Sokolowski38991191
LAug 18 · 08:10R. Gajda48116111192O. Sokolowski50611913113
WJul 30 · 09:50R. Gajda4011117113O. Sokolowski33871171
WJul 30 · 05:40R. Gajda4511716113O. Sokolowski429111481
WJun 25 · 12:15R. Gajda331111113O. Sokolowski249690
WJun 25 · 08:35R. Gajda331111113O. Sokolowski189360
LJan 28 · 12:30R. Gajda31611681O. Sokolowski4011711113
LJan 28 · 08:10R. Gajda49101191182O. Sokolowski49129116113
R. Gajda10
WOct 7 · 09:30R. Gajda1.91614118113W. Urban1.80111291182LOct 7 · 08:20R. Gajda2.1311115452R. Niemiec1.64991111113WOct 7 · 06:45R. Gajda2.151113133K. Adamus1.60811110WOct 7 · 05:30R. Gajda1.755121111113O. Sokolowski1.9511148662LOct 6 · 14:20R. Gajda1.91810111172W. Buczynski1.80111297113LOct 6 · 12:40P. Brozek2.1071113143R. Gajda1.6711911121WOct 6 · 11:50W. Glanowski1.801215110R. Gajda1.911417133WOct 6 · 11:00R. Gajda1.44611511113P. Slosarczyk2.6311711392WOct 6 · 09:50R. Gajda2.001311910123P. Przewlocki1.731191112102WOct 6 · 08:10R. Gajda2.7571111113W. Buczynski1.40118391
O. Sokolowski10
LOct 7 · 09:55O. Sokolowski1.7281111782O. Sokolowski2.00117611113WOct 7 · 08:45W. Urban1.607711111O. Sokolowski2.2011118133LOct 7 · 07:30R. Niemiec1.5011711133O. Sokolowski2.358114111WOct 7 · 05:55K. Adamus2.088101471O. Sokolowski1.68111212113WOct 2 · 08:45P. Kurek1.65811481O. Sokolowski2.0511711113LOct 2 · 07:35O. Sokolowski2.40112741M. Lebek1.4791111113LOct 2 · 06:25M. Guzik1.3711114113O. Sokolowski2.751171251LOct 2 · 05:10Y. Fomin1.751111113O. Sokolowski1.959460WOct 2 · 03:35M. Adamus1.937550O. Sokolowski1.781111113WOct 2 · 02:45M. Guzik1.35117891O. Sokolowski3.0091111113
Upcoming Matches
R. Gajda
Nothing scheduled
O. Sokolowski
Oct 7 · 11:55O. Sokolowski2.40K. Adamus1.50—Oct 8 · 03:25O. Sokolowski2.10S. Szostok1.67—Oct 8 · 04:10O. Sokolowski2.00J. Pelka1.73—Oct 8 · 05:15O. Sokolowski2.25K. Slawinski1.57—Oct 8 · 06:30O. Sokolowski2.63J. Pruszkowski1.44—Oct 8 · 07:45O. Sokolowski2.00W. Urban1.73—Oct 8 · 10:10O. Sokolowski2.00W. Urban1.73—
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