TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Michal Guzik vs Oliwier Sokolowski 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1111171412115––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:24 and never touched: 70.5% is still 70.5%
Graded at full timeMichal Guzik to win
70.5%
70.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
1111171412115––
H2H Michal Guzik 1–1 Oliwier Sokolowski Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:2470.5%Our read73.0%to break even at 1.37
short by 2.5pp73.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.37 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.37 (67%)
Guzik
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Guzik 1487 vs Sokolowski 1316
Guzik
Correct
both rated, 171 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guzik 20% vs Sokolowski 60%
Sokolowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guzik 50% vs Sokolowski 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Guzik -3 · Sokolowski -1
Guzik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% · Strong (leans Guzik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuzik 1.37 / Sokolowski 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 30%
Edge (Guzik)-2.5pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13231668
Guzik1.37
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite75% won 171 of 229
Up 2–0, closes it98% 99 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it89% 125 of 140
Sokolowski2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 130 of 345
Down 0–1, comes back21% 43 of 208
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeGuzik1wins
AwaySokolowski1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricGuzikSokolowskiG − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match36.038.5−2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuzikSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 253 vs 273 / 63073.1%43.3%185 / 253 vs 273 / 630Avg sets wonper match2.51.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GuzikGuzik 1.37/Sokolowski 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.5%
Guzik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Guzik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WOct 2 · 06:25M. Guzik3711114113O. Sokolowski351171251
LOct 2 · 02:45M. Guzik35117891O. Sokolowski4291111113
M. Guzik10
LOct 2 · 04:50M. Guzik2.40431271M. Lebek1.47111110113LOct 2 · 04:00Y. Fomin1.971111113M. Guzik1.757490LOct 2 · 02:45M. Guzik1.35117891O. Sokolowski3.0091111113WOct 2 · 01:10M. Guzik1.8711157113K. Adamus1.836131151LOct 2 · 00:00M. Guzik1.78651171M. Tkocz1.9311117113WOct 1 · 22:25M. Guzik1.8511115123G. Jurowicz1.859711101WOct 1 · 21:10M. Guzik2.001111113M. Lebek1.709670WSep 30 · 08:45M. Cesarz6.255740M. Guzik1.081111113WSep 30 · 07:35M. Guzik1.371111113J. Kaczmarek2.755940LSep 30 · 06:25M. Lebek2.20118118113M. Guzik1.5781181132
O. Sokolowski10
LOct 2 · 05:10Y. Fomin1.751111113O. Sokolowski1.959460WOct 2 · 03:35M. Adamus1.937550O. Sokolowski1.781111113WOct 2 · 02:45M. Guzik1.35117891O. Sokolowski3.0091111113LOct 2 · 01:35O. Sokolowski2.455750M. Lebek1.471111113WOct 2 · 00:25K. Adamus1.51125791O. Sokolowski2.40101111113LOct 1 · 23:10M. Tkocz1.451111113O. Sokolowski2.508680WOct 1 · 21:35G. Jurowicz1.934111041O. Sokolowski1.7811912113WOct 1 · 08:45O. Sokolowski1.85111011113A. Burkacki1.80812891LOct 1 · 07:10O. Sokolowski2.507540P. Kurek1.471111113LOct 1 · 06:00O. Sokolowski1.95118137132M. Jozefiak1.755111111153
Upcoming Matches
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