TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Krzysztof Kapik vs Jakub Zochniak 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117114911711118
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:57 and never touched: 73.3% is still 73.3%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Kapik to win
73.3%
73.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
117114911711118
H2H Krzysztof Kapik 85–43 Jakub Zochniak Jakub Zochniak has won 43 of their 128 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:5773.3%Our read75.2%to break even at 1.33
short by 1.9pp75.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.33 they are the same number)
What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (70%)
Kapik
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
85-43 in 128
Kapik
Correct
gap of 42 in 128, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kapik 1699 vs Zochniak 1558
Kapik
Correct
both rated, 141 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kapik 80% vs Zochniak 40%
Kapik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kapik 60% vs Zochniak 40%
Kapik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kapik +4 · Zochniak -1
Kapik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% · Strong (leans Kapik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKapik 1.33 / Zochniak 3.10
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Kapik)-1.9pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13257283
Kapik1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 218 of 356
Up 2–0, closes it96% 105 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it77% 147 of 190
Zochniak3.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 131 of 392
Down 0–1, comes back14% 32 of 228
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 119
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKapik6wins
AwayZochniak4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKapik leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKapik85.7%6 of 7
AwayZochniak100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kapik7Zochniak3n = 10Kapik took 7 of 10
S2Kapik5Zochniak5n = 10split evenly
S3Kapik6Zochniak4n = 10Kapik took 6 of 10
S4Kapik4Zochniak3n = 7Kapik took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKapikZochniakK − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.633.1+4.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKapikZochniakBasisWin rate · lifetime1112 / 2093 vs 1142 / 218853.1%52.2%1112 / 2093 vs 1142 / 2188Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KapikKapik 1.33/Zochniak 3.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.3%
Kapik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kapik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 4 · 18:30K. Kapik331111113J. Zochniak249780
LOct 2 · 03:20K. Kapik33861181J. Zochniak4011117113
WSep 24 · 12:35K. Kapik351111133J. Zochniak2146110
LSep 6 · 18:05K. Kapik351159101J. Zochniak4171111123
WAug 22 · 09:20K. Kapik48116911113J. Zochniak4091111272
WAug 22 · 04:00K. Kapik4111811113J. Zochniak26611631
WAug 10 · 00:35K. Kapik331111113J. Zochniak269890
WJul 29 · 16:30K. Kapik44121110113J. Zochniak321061241
LJul 26 · 19:40K. Kapik32961161J. Zochniak3911116113
LJul 23 · 09:20K. Kapik4271171162J. Zochniak42115114113
K. Kapik10
WOct 7 · 05:35K. Kapik2.051211712113J. Kuzmicz1.65107111492WOct 7 · 03:00K. Kapik1.841111811113D. Kosmal1.8741311682WOct 6 · 14:15M. Rutkowski2.002700K. Kapik1.731111113WOct 6 · 13:25D. Kosmal2.001195101K. Kapik1.7081111123WOct 6 · 11:20M. Olbrycht1.74581131K. Kapik1.9911117113LOct 6 · 10:30M. Malachowski1.8091111113K. Kapik1.85115761LOct 6 · 09:00J. Kuzmicz1.5091111113K. Kapik2.40116691WOct 5 · 08:05M. Malachowski1.808511101K. Kapik1.8511117123LOct 5 · 07:15M. Sklensky1.301111123K. Kapik3.2076100WOct 5 · 05:15D. Kostal2.0095111182K. Kapik1.70111179113
J. Zochniak10
WOct 7 · 05:15J. Zochniak1.95111011113D. Kosmal1.70912941LOct 7 · 03:20J. Zochniak2.4681012121M. Rutkowski1.42111210143WOct 5 · 13:55M. Zwolinski5.20391331J. Zochniak1.12111111113LOct 5 · 13:05A. Sobel1.85911119113J. Zochniak1.8511641142LOct 5 · 12:15J. Zochniak1.469880B. Sulkowski2.501111113WOct 5 · 10:35J. Zochniak1.73111110113D. Solilo2.00891291WOct 5 · 09:50M. Kolek2.1211117992J. Zochniak1.65681111113WOct 4 · 20:05J. Zochniak1.5781111113B. Sulkowski2.25114571LOct 4 · 18:30K. Kapik1.401111113J. Zochniak2.759780LOct 4 · 17:40L. Pietraszko1.734111011183J. Zochniak2.00119125162
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.