TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Jeromy Loffler vs Enio Mendes 1-3 · Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911711119911––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
911711119911––
H2H Jeromy Loffler 1–4 Enio Mendes Jeromy Loffler has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Mendes beat Loffler 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Loffler form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLoffler 2.60 / Mendes 1.42
Challenger Series TT · #13253857
Loffler2.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 9 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back19% 3 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Mendes1.42
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
89%takes the first set · 8 of 9
As favourite78% won 29 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it84% 21 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeLoffler1wins
AwayMendes4wins
2 of 5 to a deciderMendes leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLofflern = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMendes66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Loffler2Mendes3n = 5Mendes took 3 of 5
S2Loffler2Mendes3n = 5Mendes took 3 of 5
S3Loffler0Mendes5n = 5Mendes took 5 of 5
S4Loffler1Mendes2n = 3Mendes took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricLofflerMendesL − MBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match30.841.2−10.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLofflerMendesBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 153 vs 53 / 7355.6%72.6%85 / 153 vs 53 / 73Avg sets wonper match2.02.5per matchAvg pointsper match34.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MendesLoffler 2.60/Mendes 1.42
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
1–3
Mendes won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LOct 6 · 06:30J. Loffler147520E. Mendes331111113
LSep 17 · 16:00J. Loffler31115871E. Mendes4181111113
LSep 15 · 10:30J. Loffler166550E. Mendes331111113
WSep 14 · 12:00J. Loffler48511711143E. Mendes49117118122
LMay 25 · 15:00J. Loffler4511129492E. Mendes507101111113
J. Loffler10
LOct 6 · 09:15M. Aguirre—141311133J. Loffler—16114111LOct 6 · 06:30E. Mendes—1111113J. Loffler—7520LOct 5 · 16:30C. Besnier—1111113J. Loffler—8470WOct 5 · 15:00K. Zimmermann1.4651111872J. Loffler2.56117911113LOct 5 · 13:30J. Loffler—6130M. Aguirre—1111113WOct 5 · 11:30J. Loffler1.751211113O. Naplokov1.9510460WOct 5 · 10:00J. Loffler—11119113P. Koloidenko—811181WOct 5 · 08:00S. Happek—11690J. Loffler—1311113LSep 18 · 10:45J. Loffler—8360L. Qiu—1111113LSep 18 · 09:15D. Rinderer—1113113J. Loffler—31140
E. Mendes10
LOct 6 · 09:43E. Mendes1.4011711101C. Besnier2.7571113123WOct 6 · 08:30E. Mendes1.061211113O. Naplokov8.0010570WOct 6 · 06:30E. Mendes—1111113J. Loffler—7520WOct 5 · 16:00E. Mendes1.111111123S. Happek6.0066100WOct 5 · 12:30E. Mendes1.57111210113C. Besnier2.257101281WOct 5 · 11:00E. Mendes1.051111113P. Koloidenko8.506650WOct 5 · 08:30K. Zimmermann2.751E. Mendes1.403LOct 5 · 07:00E. Mendes3.701111851M. Aguirre1.2513911113LSep 18 · 10:58D. Rinderer1.8371111113E. Mendes1.83119671WSep 18 · 09:43E. Mendes1.53117129113L. Qiu2.38911101152
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