TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Dominik Solilo vs Maciej Kolek 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111214911––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:57 and never touched: 62.3% is still 62.3%
Graded at full timeMaciej Kolek to win
62.3%
62.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
8111214911––––
H2H Dominik Solilo 11–8 Maciej Kolek Maciej Kolek has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:5762.3%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.57
short by 1.4pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.57 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Kolek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
11-8 in 19
Solilo
Wrong
gap of 3 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Solilo 1544 vs Kolek 1671
Kolek
Correct
both rated, 127 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Solilo 40% vs Kolek 80%
Kolek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Solilo 40% vs Kolek 80%
Kolek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Solilo -2 · Kolek +3
Kolek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Clear lean (leans Kolek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSolilo 2.20 / Kolek 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Kolek)-1.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13253826
Solilo2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 73 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back25% 30 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 62
Kolek1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 264 of 423
Up 2–0, closes it94% 91 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it82% 198 of 242
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSolilo6wins
AwayKolek4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSolilo leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSolilo100%4 of 4
AwayKolek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Solilo4Kolek6n = 10Kolek took 6 of 10
S2Solilo5Kolek5n = 10split evenly
S3Solilo6Kolek4n = 10Solilo took 6 of 10
S4Solilo4Kolek3n = 7Solilo took 4 of 7
S5Solilo3Kolek1n = 4Solilo took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSoliloKolekS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.738.8−0.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSoliloKolekBasisWin rate · lifetime287 / 585 vs 769 / 151549.1%50.8%287 / 585 vs 769 / 1515Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.239.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KolekSolilo 2.20/Kolek 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.3%
Kolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 5 · 14:20D. Solilo301251121M. Kolek4514119113
WSep 29 · 13:05D. Solilo50811119113M. Kolek4311961162
WSep 28 · 12:15D. Solilo52119714113M. Kolek50911111272
LSep 17 · 18:05D. Solilo269890M. Kolek331111113
WSep 16 · 23:20D. Solilo331111113M. Kolek195860
LSep 16 · 20:30D. Solilo28531281M. Kolek43111110113
WSep 13 · 12:10D. Solilo4111118113M. Kolek29371181
WSep 12 · 09:00D. Solilo331111113M. Kolek217860
WAug 13 · 09:25D. Solilo49811611133M. Kolek50118119112
LAug 12 · 11:00D. Solilo45311111372M. Kolek551113911113
D. Solilo10
LOct 6 · 09:50D. Solilo1.9011611392B. Sulkowski1.76911511113LOct 5 · 14:20M. Kolek1.9014119113D. Solilo1.751251121WOct 5 · 13:30B. Sulkowski1.6012871192D. Solilo2.201011119113WOct 5 · 11:25M. Zwolinski4.25119111182D. Solilo1.19131137113LOct 5 · 10:35J. Zochniak1.73111110113D. Solilo2.00891291LOct 5 · 09:00A. Sobel1.85171111113D. Solilo1.85194761LOct 2 · 00:10D. Solilo1.73117119112J. Glanowski2.00811811133LOct 1 · 23:20D. Solilo2.50106100K. Staszczyk1.501211123WOct 1 · 21:50D. Solilo1.50117113143B. Sulkowski2.50511411122WOct 1 · 21:25D. Solilo1.6771112113A. Linek2.101161071
M. Kolek10
WOct 6 · 09:25A. Sobel2.151213510112M. Kolek1.6310111112133WOct 5 · 14:20M. Kolek1.9014119113D. Solilo1.751251121WOct 5 · 12:40M. Zwolinski4.6081313111M. Kolek1.14111511133LOct 5 · 11:50A. Sobel2.1011116113M. Kolek1.65791191WOct 5 · 11:00M. Kolek1.46117119113B. Sulkowski2.5071161192LOct 5 · 09:50M. Kolek2.1211117992J. Zochniak1.65681111113WOct 5 · 08:35M. Zwolinski5.101159111M. Kolek1.1271111133WOct 5 · 07:20M. Kolek1.091111113M. Lukaszewski5.905550WOct 5 · 06:05A. Sobel1.9811881192M. Kolek1.65711118113WOct 5 · 04:55B. Warpas4.006680M. Kolek1.221111113
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