TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Adam Ruszkiewicz vs Milosz Cesarz 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118114118––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:15 and never touched: 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeAdam Ruszkiewicz to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
118114118––––
H2H Adam Ruszkiewicz 10–20 Milosz Cesarz Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 10 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:1567.3%Our read70.9%to break even at 1.41
short by 3.6pp70.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.41 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
10-20 in 30
Cesarz
Wrong
gap of 10 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruszkiewicz 1379 vs Cesarz 1162
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
both rated, 217 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruszkiewicz 80% vs Cesarz 40%
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruszkiewicz 50% vs Cesarz 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruszkiewicz +1 · Cesarz -3
Cesarz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% · Clear lean (leans Ruszkiewicz) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuszkiewicz 1.41 / Cesarz 2.60
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Ruszkiewicz)-3.6pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13253008
Ruszkiewicz1.41
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite56% won 60 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it71% 51 of 72
Cesarz2.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog25% won 63 of 251
Down 0–1, comes back12% 21 of 172
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuszkiewicz5wins
AwayCesarz5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuszkiewicz71.4%5 of 7
AwayCesarz100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruszkiewicz7Cesarz3n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 7 of 10
S2Ruszkiewicz4Cesarz6n = 10Cesarz took 6 of 10
S3Ruszkiewicz6Cesarz4n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 6 of 10
S4Ruszkiewicz2Cesarz3n = 5Cesarz took 3 of 5
S5Ruszkiewicz1Cesarz2n = 3Cesarz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuszkiewiczCesarzR − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.935.5+1.4per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuszkiewiczCesarzBasisWin rate · lifetime346 / 899 vs 147 / 53338.5%27.6%346 / 899 vs 147 / 533Avg sets wonper match1.71.4per matchAvg pointsper match35.933.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
RuszkiewiczRuszkiewicz 1.41/Cesarz 2.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Ruszkiewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ruszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 6 · 06:25A. Ruszkiewicz331111113M. Cesarz208480
LSep 15 · 06:45A. Ruszkiewicz259880M. Cesarz331111113
LSep 8 · 05:10A. Ruszkiewicz258890M. Cesarz331111113
WSep 1 · 06:00A. Ruszkiewicz44111111113M. Cesarz34613691
WAug 18 · 06:45A. Ruszkiewicz48128134113M. Cesarz521011111192
WAug 6 · 04:25A. Ruszkiewicz331111113M. Cesarz188370
LAug 4 · 07:10A. Ruszkiewicz4311711772M. Cesarz46611711113
WJul 28 · 04:25A. Ruszkiewicz371114123M. Cesarz30812100
LJul 21 · 04:25A. Ruszkiewicz369116101M. Cesarz4011611123
LJul 14 · 07:35A. Ruszkiewicz45111071252M. Cesarz495121110113
A. Ruszkiewicz10
WOct 6 · 04:50A. Ruszkiewicz1.83117116113R. Idaczyk1.8771181162LOct 6 · 04:00O. Vincenec1.951111153A. Ruszkiewicz1.7536130WOct 5 · 02:20M. Sikon1.831540A. Ruszkiewicz1.831111113WOct 5 · 01:35P. Ostachowski—411861A. Ruszkiewicz—11811113WOct 4 · 23:35G. Sawicki2.15281391A. Ruszkiewicz1.60111111113LOct 4 · 22:50M. Adamus1.86911117113A. Ruszkiewicz1.8011761162LOct 4 · 21:10M. Guzik1.6051111113A. Ruszkiewicz2.15116881LOct 4 · 20:20M. Adamus1.9511119113A. Ruszkiewicz1.70851161LOct 4 · 19:35P. Ostachowski2.5331211113A. Ruszkiewicz1.471110851WOct 4 · 17:35G. Sawicki2.65411981A. Ruszkiewicz1.4211911113
M. Cesarz10
LOct 6 · 05:10O. Vincenec1.451113113M. Cesarz2.5041180LOct 6 · 03:35R. Skotniczny1.121111113M. Cesarz4.954450LOct 2 · 14:40M. Cesarz3.7555160W. Urban1.251111183WOct 2 · 13:05M. Cesarz3.4011117113P. Adamus1.30841141WOct 2 · 11:50M. Cesarz4.331611143R. Skotniczny1.20149120WOct 2 · 10:10M. Cesarz4.3311101310113O. Jadach1.20912111292LOct 2 · 09:00M. Cesarz3.006141261K. Schaniel1.36111214113LOct 2 · 07:45O. Jadach1.2281111113M. Cesarz4.00118551WOct 2 · 06:55P. Adamus1.2886100M. Cesarz3.501111123LOct 2 · 06:05M. Cesarz3.259118101W. Urban1.3311911123
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