Oleksandr Zhurba vs Oleksandr Belskyi 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 6Finished

Oleksandr Zhurba

Home

1.08

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 3

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

1171171311––––

Oleksandr Belskyi

Away

7.00

At publish

Won last 8

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 8

The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:25 and never touched: 86.6% is still 86.6%

Graded at full time

Oleksandr Zhurba to win

86.6%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingOleksandr Zhurba above · Oleksandr Belskyi below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 13-11

Point 60 set 3, 13-11 · our read held Oleksandr Zhurba at 86.6%

60 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 14:25

86.6%Our read92.3%to break even at 1.083

short by 5.7pp

92.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.083 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.08 (87%)

Zhurba

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Zhurba 1953 vs Belskyi 1642

Zhurba

Correct

both rated, 311 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Zhurba 80% vs Belskyi 100%

Belskyi

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Zhurba 70% vs Belskyi 80%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Zhurba +3 · Belskyi +8

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 87% · Strong (leans Zhurba) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Belskyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (14%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsZhurba 1.083 / Belskyi 7.00

Signal prob.87% / 13%

Edge (Zhurba)-5.7pp (anti-value)

Setka Cup · #13251130

Zhurba1.08

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

90%takes the first set · 9 of 10

As favourite72% won 152 of 210

Up 2–0, closes it97% 91 of 94

Up 1–0, closes it87% 116 of 134

Belskyi7.00

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 8

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog24% won 11 of 46

Down 0–1, comes back8% 2 of 26

Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricZhurbaBelskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime452 / 685 vs 55 / 12766%43.3%452 / 685 vs 55 / 127Avg sets wonper match2.41.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Zhurba

Zhurba 1.08/Belskyi 7.00

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

86.6%

Zhurba · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Zhurba won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

O. Zhurba10