TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Roman Horokh vs Myhailo Levytskii 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1131171513––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:29 and never touched: 87.4% is still 87.4%
Graded at full timeRoman Horokh to win
87.4%
87.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Horokh above · Myhailo Levytskii below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 15-13
Point 60 set 3, 15-13 · our read held Roman Horokh at 87.4%
60 points played in total.
H2H Roman Horokh 31–1 Myhailo Levytskii Myhailo Levytskii has won 1 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:2987.4%Our read88.9%to break even at 1.125
short by 1.5pp88.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.125 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Horokh
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
31-1 in 32
Horokh
Correct
gap of 30 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Horokh 1962 vs Levytskii 1671
Horokh
Correct
both rated, 291 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Horokh 80% vs Levytskii 0%
Horokh
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Horokh 70% vs Levytskii 20%
Horokh
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Horokh +3 · Levytskii -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% · Strong (leans Horokh) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levytskii form (0%) is below what odds imply (18%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorokh 1.125 / Levytskii 5.50
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Horokh)-1.5pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13251036
Horokh1.13
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 290 of 434
Up 2–0, closes it97% 156 of 161
Up 1–0, closes it84% 226 of 270
Levytskii5.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog25% won 7 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back11% 2 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHorokh9wins
AwayLevytskii1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHorokh leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHorokh100%7 of 7
AwayLevytskii33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Horokh7Levytskii3n = 10Horokh took 7 of 10
S2Horokh7Levytskii3n = 10Horokh took 7 of 10
S3Horokh8Levytskii2n = 10Horokh took 8 of 10
S4Horokh2Levytskii2n = 4split evenly
S5Horokh3Levytskii0n = 3Horokh took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHorokhLevytskiiH − LBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.532.0+7.5per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorokhLevytskiiBasisWin rate · lifetime692 / 1224 vs 166 / 30956.5%53.7%692 / 1224 vs 166 / 309Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HorokhHorokh 1.13/Levytskii 5.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.4%
Horokh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Horokh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 29 · 12:30R. Horokh4011711113M. Levytskii31811571
WSep 14 · 13:30R. Horokh51671116113M. Levytskii48111131492
WSep 2 · 16:00R. Horokh45111157113M. Levytskii4379111152
WJan 27 · 15:00R. Horokh331111113M. Levytskii166460
WAug 7 · 15:30R. Horokh381313123M. Levytskii321111100
WJul 31 · 14:30R. Horokh612211116113M. Levytskii5324681142
WJul 29 · 15:30R. Horokh391511133M. Levytskii32138110
WJul 23 · 16:30R. Horokh341211113M. Levytskii1710430
LJul 22 · 15:30R. Horokh215790M. Levytskii331111113
WJul 1 · 17:30R. Horokh331111113M. Levytskii154650
R. Horokh10
WOct 6 · 12:00R. Horokh1.141111135113S. Kiilo5.0056151162WOct 3 · 10:00D. Yurkov2.633540R. Horokh1.441111113WOct 3 · 09:30D. Kryshtal2.63128111172R. Horokh1.44141191113LOct 3 · 08:00V. Komar2.75116616113R. Horokh1.40811111492WOct 3 · 07:00R. Horokh1.401113123V. Komar2.75711100LOct 3 · 06:00R. Horokh1.5361111542D. Kryshtal2.38119611113WOct 3 · 05:00R. Horokh1.5311911113D. Yurkov2.38811491LSep 30 · 10:38R. Horokh1.40611119122V. Komar2.75114411143WSep 30 · 09:00S. Kiilo5.003650R. Horokh1.141111113WSep 30 · 07:30I. Shyndel2.0011108111R. Horokh1.7341211133
M. Levytskii10
LOct 6 · 12:30M. Levytskii4.50414271S. Balabei1.17111211113LSep 29 · 16:33I. Shyndel1.281111113M. Levytskii3.508760LSep 29 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.731111113M. Levytskii2.006540LSep 29 · 14:30M. Levytskii3.008890I. Shyndel1.361111113LSep 29 · 12:30M. Levytskii5.50811571R. Horokh1.1311711113WSep 27 · 10:08O. Torianyk2.2576100M. Levytskii1.571111123LSep 27 · 09:30M. Levytskii1.5051111582P. Kolesnik2.50116511113LSep 27 · 08:30M. Levytskii1.445111181O. Torianyk2.6311813113WSep 27 · 07:00M. Levytskii1.9111313113O. Tiutiunnyk1.806111171LSep 27 · 06:00M. Levytskii1.7311115462M. Denysenko2.00751111113
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