TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Marcel Heczko vs Jakub Levicky 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
71171113111151012
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:25 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Levicky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMarcel Heczko above · Jakub Levicky below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 98 set 5, 10-12 · our read held Jakub Levicky at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Heczko 44–54 Jakub Levicky Marcel Heczko has won 44 of their 98 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:2554.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.6pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Levicky
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
44-54 in 98
Levicky
Correct
gap of 10 in 98, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heczko 1519 vs Levicky 1571
Levicky
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heczko 40% vs Levicky 60%
Levicky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heczko 40% vs Levicky 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Heczko +2 · Levicky -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Levicky) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heczko form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 1.909 / Levicky 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Levicky)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13248621
Heczko1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 61 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back23% 20 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46
Levicky1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 92 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it96% 42 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it89% 69 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeczko4wins
AwayLevicky6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevicky leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeczko80%4 of 5
AwayLevicky100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heczko5Levicky5n = 10split evenly
S2Heczko2Levicky8n = 10Levicky took 8 of 10
S3Heczko6Levicky4n = 10Heczko took 6 of 10
S4Heczko5Levicky4n = 9Heczko took 5 of 9
S5Heczko2Levicky3n = 5Levicky took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeczkoLevickyH − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.438.8+0.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime289 / 598 vs 458 / 90548.3%50.6%289 / 598 vs 458 / 905Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LevickyHeczko 1.91/Levicky 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Levicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Levicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 6 · 07:30M. Heczko48771311102J. Levicky501111115123
LOct 5 · 07:30M. Heczko43410111172J. Levicky49111269113
LSep 28 · 14:00M. Heczko218850J. Levicky331111113
WSep 27 · 08:00M. Heczko4211911113J. Levicky27711811
WSep 15 · 10:30M. Heczko491110611113J. Levicky4061211562
LSep 11 · 13:30M. Heczko29581151J. Levicky4111118113
WSep 11 · 11:00M. Heczko3711411113J. Levicky26711441
WSep 11 · 09:29M. Heczko49111197113J. Levicky4057111162
LSep 11 · 08:00M. Heczko31971141J. Levicky3611113113
LSep 8 · 12:30M. Heczko4512116972J. Levicky461031111113
M. Heczko10
LOct 6 · 08:30P. Danko1.61511411113M. Heczko2.2011711862WOct 6 · 06:30V. Cerny2.508470M. Heczko1.501111113WOct 5 · 09:07O. Hradil1.83103111162M. Heczko1.83121155113LOct 5 · 08:30S. Byrtus1.831311116113M. Heczko1.8315681182LOct 5 · 07:30M. Heczko1.91410111172J. Levicky1.80111269113LOct 5 · 06:30O. Hradil1.8311411113M. Heczko1.83711781LSep 28 · 17:30J. Stoch1.6701111113M. Heczko2.10114951WSep 28 · 16:30M. Heczko1.831111113D. Oborny1.836790WSep 28 · 15:00M. Heczko1.83115614123J. Stoch1.838111112102LSep 28 · 14:00J. Levicky1.731111113M. Heczko2.008850
J. Levicky10
WOct 6 · 08:59J. Levicky1.83811118113V. Cerny1.8311491182LOct 6 · 08:00J. Levicky1.61117791V. Cerny2.2061111113LOct 6 · 06:00J. Levicky2.25111197102P. Danko1.57481111123WOct 5 · 09:30S. Byrtus1.73156100J. Levicky2.001711123WOct 5 · 08:00J. Levicky1.5311513113O. Hradil2.386111191WOct 5 · 07:30M. Heczko1.91410111172J. Levicky1.80111269113LOct 5 · 06:00J. Levicky2.1012911982S. Byrtus1.671011611113LOct 4 · 12:59D. Oborny1.6111711113J. Levicky2.20611581LOct 4 · 12:00V. Zidek1.441111113J. Levicky2.635610WSep 28 · 14:00J. Levicky1.731111113M. Heczko2.008850
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