TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
David Sykora vs Zdenek Zahradka 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117311117117––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:12 and never touched: 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Sykora to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Sykora above · Zdenek Zahradka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 68 set 4, 11-7 · our read held David Sykora at 62.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H David Sykora 51–30 Zdenek Zahradka Zdenek Zahradka has won 30 of their 81 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:1262.0%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 3.2pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Sykora
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
51-30 in 81
Sykora
Correct
gap of 21 in 81, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sykora 1515 vs Zahradka 1446
Sykora
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sykora 60% vs Zahradka 100%
Zahradka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sykora 50% vs Zahradka 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sykora -1 · Zahradka +5
Zahradka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Clear lean (leans Sykora) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zahradka form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSykora 1.533 / Zahradka 2.375
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Sykora)-3.2pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13247143
Sykora1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 86 of 138
Up 2–0, closes it90% 46 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it85% 68 of 80
Zahradka2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 03)
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 71 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back12% 14 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSykora8wins
AwayZahradka2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSykora leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSykora100%6 of 6
AwayZahradka50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sykora6Zahradka4n = 10Sykora took 6 of 10
S2Sykora7Zahradka3n = 10Sykora took 7 of 10
S3Sykora7Zahradka3n = 10Sykora took 7 of 10
S4Sykora3Zahradka3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSykoraZahradkaS − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.433.7+5.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSykoraZahradkaBasisWin rate · lifetime274 / 504 vs 398 / 80854.4%49.3%274 / 504 vs 398 / 808Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SykoraSykora 1.53/Zahradka 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Sykora · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sykora won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 17:50D. Sykora49127118113Z. Zahradka49101191182
LSep 14 · 15:20D. Sykora33811771Z. Zahradka4111811113
WAug 23 · 16:55D. Sykora331111113Z. Zahradka185850
LAug 2 · 14:09D. Sykora196760Z. Zahradka331111113
WAug 2 · 11:55D. Sykora51812119113Z. Zahradka44111031192
WJul 28 · 11:50D. Sykora331111113Z. Zahradka215790
WJul 23 · 11:55D. Sykora4291111113Z. Zahradka32116961
WJul 12 · 12:25D. Sykora4818118113Z. Zahradka371641161
WJul 9 · 13:25D. Sykora51151211133Z. Zahradka4313145111
WJul 9 · 10:20D. Sykora351311113Z. Zahradka1911710
D. Sykora10
WOct 5 · 16:20D. Sykora2.1051111113J. Melichar1.67115931WOct 5 · 15:20D. Sykora1.91111213153J. Hendrych1.8091015131LOct 4 · 18:05D. Sykora1.958670O. Varecka1.751111113WOct 4 · 16:50O. Varecka1.67111013892D. Sykora2.103121111113LOct 4 · 15:50D. Sykora1.833690R. Jamrich1.831111113WOct 4 · 14:20J. Kulveit2.0011990D. Sykora1.731311113WOct 2 · 17:50J. Melichar1.6013811942D. Sykora2.201111711113WOct 2 · 16:50J. Dvorak2.637780D. Sykora1.441111113LOct 2 · 15:50D. Sykora1.91781161J. Melichar1.8011115113WOct 2 · 14:20A. Kral2.63912841D. Sykora1.44111011113
Z. Zahradka10
WOct 5 · 17:30J. Hendrych—53100Z. Zahradka—1111123LOct 5 · 16:50J. Hendrych2.50121177113Z. Zahradka1.50109111182LOct 5 · 15:50Z. Zahradka2.5010840J. Melichar1.501211113WOct 3 · 10:30Z. Zahradka1.461111113P. Chlumsky2.558760WOct 3 · 09:25Z. Zahradka2.0012811113J. Dvorak1.731011651WOct 3 · 07:55A. Kral2.2026100Z. Zahradka1.611111123WOct 3 · 07:25P. Chlumsky2.6390Z. Zahradka1.44111WOct 2 · 18:06Z. Zahradka1.571111113J. Hendrych2.258240WOct 2 · 16:55Z. Zahradka1.8011411113J. Hendrych1.91811351LOct 2 · 15:55Z. Zahradka2.6368100P. Moravec1.441111123
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