TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jonas Kulveit vs David Sykora 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113911911––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:00 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Sykora to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJonas Kulveit above · David Sykora below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 64 set 3, 9-11 · our read held David Sykora at 54.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Jonas Kulveit 7–5 David Sykora David Sykora has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:0054.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.9pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 5 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sykora
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Kulveit
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulveit 1602 vs Sykora 1523
Kulveit
Wrong
both rated, 80 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulveit 100% vs Sykora 60%
Kulveit
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulveit 90% vs Sykora 60%
Kulveit
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulveit +6 · Sykora +2
Kulveit
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Sykora) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulveit form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulveit 2.00 / Sykora 1.727
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sykora)-3.9pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13242747
Kulveit2.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 28)
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog59% won 16 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back41% 7 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Sykora1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 02)
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 87 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it90% 45 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it83% 67 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulveit6wins
AwaySykora4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKulveit leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulveit100%5 of 5
AwaySykora80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulveit5Sykora5n = 10split evenly
S2Kulveit6Sykora4n = 10Kulveit took 6 of 10
S3Kulveit5Sykora5n = 10split evenly
S4Kulveit5Sykora2n = 7Kulveit took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulveitSykoraK − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.035.0+2.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulveitSykoraBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 285 vs 272 / 50050.9%54.4%145 / 285 vs 272 / 500Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SykoraKulveit 2.00/Sykora 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sykora · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sykora won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 12 · 14:35J. Kulveit4061311101D. Sykora47111113123
WJul 12 · 10:55J. Kulveit44471111113D. Sykora4711118982
LMay 9 · 13:54J. Kulveit218580D. Sykora331111113
LMay 9 · 12:55J. Kulveit51119111192D. Sykora50131196113
WApr 26 · 14:20J. Kulveit3911116113D. Sykora33771181
LFeb 1 · 13:50J. Kulveit29712641D. Sykora43111011113
WNov 8 · 20:25J. Kulveit4111811113D. Sykora26611361
WAug 23 · 20:20J. Kulveit331111113D. Sykora207940
WAug 20 · 10:20J. Kulveit3911116113D. Sykora33691171
WAug 7 · 10:50J. Kulveit331111113D. Sykora189360
J. Kulveit10
LOct 4 · 15:20J. Kulveit1.8011119452O. Varecka1.91771111113WSep 28 · 18:40J. Kulveit1.8311114113J. Melichar1.83591161WSep 28 · 17:25R. Jamrich2.2511123392J. Kulveit1.578101111113WSep 28 · 16:25J. Kulveit2.1011119113J. Melichar1.67651181WSep 28 · 14:55O. Varecka1.80119571J. Kulveit1.9161111113WSep 27 · 10:29J. Kulveit1.5711511113R. Jamrich2.25711881WSep 27 · 08:55J. Kulveit1.61311134113R. Jamrich2.20115111192LSep 27 · 07:55J. Kulveit1.5351111992Z. Zahradka2.38117711113WSep 27 · 06:55J. Kulveit1.805111611113A. Kral1.91115141342WSep 19 · 10:34J. Kulveit1.80116115113A. Kral1.9091171192
D. Sykora10
LOct 4 · 15:50D. Sykora1.833690R. Jamrich1.831111113WOct 2 · 17:50J. Melichar1.6013811942D. Sykora2.201111711113WOct 2 · 16:50J. Dvorak2.637780D. Sykora1.441111113LOct 2 · 15:50D. Sykora1.91781161J. Melichar1.8011115113WOct 2 · 14:20A. Kral2.63912841D. Sykora1.44111011113LSep 17 · 17:30D. Sykora1.709630M. Dvorak2.021111113LSep 17 · 16:20D. Sykora1.83116761J. Hendrych1.8391111113LSep 17 · 15:20D. Sykora3.00910100M. Sochor1.361112123WSep 17 · 14:20D. Sykora1.8311111113M. Dvorak1.83841151WSep 14 · 17:50Z. Zahradka3.00101191182D. Sykora1.36127118113
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