TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Anatoliy Lysyi vs Mykola Zavoloka 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811911––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:27 and never touched: 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeMykola Zavoloka to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatoliy Lysyi above · Mykola Zavoloka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Mykola Zavoloka at 64.9%
58 points played in total.
H2H Anatoliy Lysyi 2–3 Mykola Zavoloka Anatoliy Lysyi has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:2764.9%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 4.4pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zavoloka
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lysyi 1217 vs Zavoloka 1236
Zavoloka
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysyi 60% vs Zavoloka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysyi 50% vs Zavoloka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysyi +2 · Zavoloka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Zavoloka) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysyi 2.625 / Zavoloka 1.444
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Zavoloka)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13245378
Lysyi2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 40 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back13% 8 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 39
Zavoloka1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 38 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it82% 32 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeLysyi2wins
AwayZavoloka3wins
Zavoloka leads 3–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysyin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayZavoloka50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysyi1Zavoloka4n = 5Zavoloka took 4 of 5
S2Lysyi3Zavoloka2n = 5Lysyi took 3 of 5
S3Lysyi2Zavoloka3n = 5Zavoloka took 3 of 5
S4Lysyi2Zavoloka2n = 4split evenly
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricLysyiZavolokaL − ZBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match34.837.8−3.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysyiZavolokaBasisWin rate · lifetime191 / 418 vs 57 / 10345.7%55.3%191 / 418 vs 57 / 103Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.736.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZavolokaLysyi 2.63/Zavoloka 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Zavoloka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zavoloka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 24 · 07:30A. Lysyi375156111M. Zavoloka48111311133
WAug 17 · 07:30A. Lysyi4181111113M. Zavoloka31115691
LAug 16 · 15:30A. Lysyi218670M. Zavoloka331111113
WJul 27 · 07:30A. Lysyi4491113113M. Zavoloka341131191
LJun 29 · 08:28A. Lysyi31129641M. Zavoloka43101111113
A. Lysyi10
WOct 5 · 06:30O. Badanin1.801211341A. Lysyi1.9114911113WOct 5 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.22121111123V. Hyriavyi4.001489101LOct 4 · 15:30V. Kurliuk1.2011114123A. Lysyi4.337511101WOct 4 · 14:30A. Lysyi3.001112463O. Levytskyi1.368101151LOct 4 · 13:30V. Simchuk1.20113119113A. Lysyi4.3341171142LOct 4 · 12:30A. Lysyi3.402990I. Sorochan1.301111113WSep 29 · 10:02A. Lysyi1.401111113E. Bakin2.759340WSep 29 · 09:00A. Lysyi2.101111113V. Matviichuk1.678370LSep 29 · 08:00S. Honcharenko1.401111113A. Lysyi2.759890LSep 29 · 07:00V. Simchuk1.2011413123A. Lysyi4.3371111101
M. Zavoloka10
WOct 5 · 06:00S. Honcharenko2.0011118632M. Zavoloka1.73971111113WOct 5 · 05:00O. Badanin2.3811127942M. Zavoloka1.533101111113LOct 2 · 09:58O. Badanin3.0041211113M. Zavoloka1.361110591LOct 2 · 09:30V. Saakian1.7311117113M. Zavoloka2.00751191WOct 2 · 08:00M. Zavoloka1.441111123O. Badanin2.6379100WOct 2 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.111111113V. Hyriavyi6.009870LOct 2 · 05:00M. Zavoloka1.2211411572Y. Urezchenko4.00211511113LOct 1 · 09:58M. Zavoloka1.918790V. Khyzhnyak1.801111113LOct 1 · 09:00V. Khyzhnyak1.73111187113M. Zavoloka2.0075111192WOct 1 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.7359110M. Zavoloka2.001111133
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