TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Anatoliy Lysyi vs Oleksandr Levytskyi 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118121041165––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:01 and never touched: 71.2% is still 71.2%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Levytskyi to win
71.2%
71.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnatoliy Lysyi above · Oleksandr Levytskyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 6-5
Point 67 set 4, 6-5 · our read held Oleksandr Levytskyi at 71.2%
67 points played in total.
H2H Anatoliy Lysyi 8–15 Oleksandr Levytskyi Anatoliy Lysyi has won 8 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:0171.2%Our read73.4%to break even at 1.363
short by 2.2pp73.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.363 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Levytskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
8-15 in 23
Levytskyi
Wrong
gap of 7 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lysyi 1196 vs Levytskyi 1251
Levytskyi
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysyi 40% vs Levytskyi 80%
Levytskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysyi 40% vs Levytskyi 60%
Levytskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysyi -2 · Levytskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% · Strong (leans Levytskyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysyi 3.00 / Levytskyi 1.363
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Levytskyi)-2.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13240338
Lysyi3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 39 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back13% 8 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 37
Levytskyi1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 26 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLysyi4wins
AwayLevytskyi6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevytskyi leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysyin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayLevytskyi62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysyi2Levytskyi8n = 10Levytskyi took 8 of 10
S2Lysyi4Levytskyi6n = 10Levytskyi took 6 of 10
S3Lysyi5Levytskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Lysyi4Levytskyi3n = 7Lysyi took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLysyiLevytskyiLysyi − LevytskyiBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.737.9−4.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysyiLevytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime188 / 416 vs 131 / 29745.2%44.1%188 / 416 vs 131 / 297Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.736.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LevytskyiLysyi 3.00/Levytskyi 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.2%
Levytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lysyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 17:03A. Lysyi163580O. Levytskyi331111113
LAug 29 · 12:30A. Lysyi38991191O. Levytskyi4111118113
LApr 25 · 07:30A. Lysyi215970O. Levytskyi331111113
LApr 18 · 16:58A. Lysyi30681151O. Levytskyi3611113113
WApr 18 · 13:30A. Lysyi43101111113O. Levytskyi33124981
LMar 21 · 13:30A. Lysyi4111117572O. Levytskyi48781111113
WDec 15 · 18:00A. Lysyi5091812113O. Levytskyi4411161071
WDec 15 · 16:30A. Lysyi3411111113O. Levytskyi33911671
LNov 29 · 11:00A. Lysyi189450O. Levytskyi331111113
WNov 29 · 09:30A. Lysyi46811511113O. Levytskyi4511811872
A. Lysyi10
LOct 4 · 13:30V. Simchuk1.20113119113A. Lysyi4.3341171142LOct 4 · 12:30A. Lysyi3.402990I. Sorochan1.301111113WSep 29 · 10:02A. Lysyi1.401111113E. Bakin2.759340WSep 29 · 09:00A. Lysyi2.101111113V. Matviichuk1.678370LSep 29 · 08:00S. Honcharenko1.401111113A. Lysyi2.759890LSep 29 · 07:00V. Simchuk1.2011413123A. Lysyi4.3371111101WSep 29 · 05:30E. Bakin1.28121111792A. Lysyi3.501091311113LSep 28 · 10:03V. Matviichuk1.8011511113A. Lysyi1.91611771LSep 28 · 08:30S. Honcharenko1.4011118113A. Lysyi2.75791161WSep 28 · 07:30A. Lysyi2.10114711133V. Matviichuk1.67411112112
O. Levytskyi10
LOct 4 · 13:00V. Kurliuk1.4412116113O. Levytskyi2.631081191WOct 4 · 12:00V. Simchuk1.2287111112O. Levytskyi4.00111169113WOct 2 · 17:31A. Danylov2.759680O. Levytskyi1.401111113WOct 2 · 16:30S. Zherykhin2.25611751O. Levytskyi1.5711911113WOct 2 · 15:00O. Levytskyi1.91101111113A. Danylov1.80123531LOct 2 · 13:30O. Levytskyi1.73114681R. Sveshnykov2.0081111113LOct 2 · 12:00O. Levytskyi2.107411101S. Honcharenko1.6711118123WSep 27 · 16:59S. Honcharenko1.61610111152O. Levytskyi2.20111245113WSep 27 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.83813581O. Levytskyi1.83111111113LSep 27 · 14:30O. Levytskyi2.25121111772S. Honcharenko1.571091311103
Upcoming Matches
A. Lysyi
Nothing scheduled
O. Levytskyi
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