TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Viacheslav Simchuk vs Oleksandr Levytskyi 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 20
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811711116119111
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:58 and never touched: 81.0% is still 81.0%
Graded at full timeViacheslav Simchuk to win
81.0%
81.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingViacheslav Simchuk above · Oleksandr Levytskyi below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 1-11
Point 86 set 5, 1-11 · our read held Viacheslav Simchuk at 81.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Viacheslav Simchuk 5–2 Oleksandr Levytskyi Oleksandr Levytskyi has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:5881.0%Our read81.8%to break even at 1.222
short by 0.8pp81.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.222 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Simchuk
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Simchuk
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Simchuk 1529 vs Levytskyi 1242
Simchuk
Wrong
both rated, 286 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Simchuk 100% vs Levytskyi 60%
Simchuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Simchuk 100% vs Levytskyi 60%
Simchuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Simchuk +20 · Levytskyi +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% · Strong (leans Simchuk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levytskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSimchuk 1.222 / Levytskyi 4.00
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Simchuk)-0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13240166
Simchuk1.22
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 29)
Won last 20
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite75% won 108 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it98% 55 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it94% 79 of 84
Levytskyi4.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 02)
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog27% won 17 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back21% 8 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSimchuk5wins
AwayLevytskyi2wins
Simchuk leads 5–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSimchuk100%4 of 4
AwayLevytskyi66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Simchuk4Levytskyi3n = 7Simchuk took 4 of 7
S2Simchuk6Levytskyi1n = 7Simchuk took 6 of 7
S3Simchuk3Levytskyi4n = 7Levytskyi took 4 of 7
S4Simchuk3Levytskyi1n = 4Simchuk took 3 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricSimchukLevytskyiS − LBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match34.029.4+4.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSimchukLevytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime289 / 463 vs 130 / 29562.4%44.1%289 / 463 vs 130 / 295Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SimchukSimchuk 1.22/Levytskyi 4.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
81%
Simchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Levytskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJun 30 · 07:30V. Simchuk4181111113O. Levytskyi27113581
LJun 25 · 14:30V. Simchuk25411371O. Levytskyi3711411113
WJun 18 · 13:30V. Simchuk361111143O. Levytskyi2695120
WApr 25 · 10:08V. Simchuk44121110113O. Levytskyi371071281
WApr 25 · 06:30V. Simchuk331111113O. Levytskyi176290
WNov 19 · 15:30V. Simchuk4211119113O. Levytskyi29761151
LMar 15 · 15:30V. Simchuk179530O. Levytskyi331111113
V. Simchuk10
WSep 29 · 10:30S. Honcharenko2.50104110V. Simchuk1.501211133WSep 29 · 09:30V. Simchuk1.501111113S. Honcharenko2.507880WSep 29 · 08:30V. Simchuk1.221111113E. Bakin4.004690WSep 29 · 07:00V. Simchuk1.2011413123A. Lysyi4.3371111101WSep 29 · 06:00V. Simchuk1.28111012113V. Matviichuk3.504121051WSep 28 · 17:28V. Simchuk1.6112101110113I. Dubinin2.20101211292WSep 28 · 16:00Y. Zvolynskyi3.2521590V. Simchuk1.331117113WSep 28 · 14:30I. Sorochan2.1011830V. Simchuk1.671311113WSep 28 · 13:00I. Dubinin2.0012911372V. Simchuk1.731011911113WSep 28 · 12:00S. Sideltsev1.506111091V. Simchuk2.5011912113
O. Levytskyi10
LOct 4 · 13:00V. Kurliuk1.4412116113O. Levytskyi2.631081191WOct 2 · 17:31A. Danylov2.759680O. Levytskyi1.401111113WOct 2 · 16:30S. Zherykhin2.25611751O. Levytskyi1.5711911113WOct 2 · 15:00O. Levytskyi1.91101111113A. Danylov1.80123531LOct 2 · 13:30O. Levytskyi1.73114681R. Sveshnykov2.0081111113LOct 2 · 12:00O. Levytskyi2.107411101S. Honcharenko1.6711118123WSep 27 · 16:59S. Honcharenko1.61610111152O. Levytskyi2.20111245113WSep 27 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.83813581O. Levytskyi1.83111111113LSep 27 · 14:30O. Levytskyi2.25121111772S. Honcharenko1.571091311103LSep 27 · 13:30A. Danylov1.80811118123O. Levytskyi1.91118811102
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