TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Honcharenko vs Oleksandr Levytskyi 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111012114115511
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingSerhii Honcharenko above · Oleksandr Levytskyi below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 86 set 5, 5-11
86 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Honcharenko 23–25 Oleksandr Levytskyi Serhii Honcharenko has won 23 of their 48 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Honcharenko beat Levytskyi 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Honcharenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levytskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoncharenko 1.61 / Levytskyi 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Honcharenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13207443
Honcharenko1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 99 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it95% 55 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it87% 81 of 93
Levytskyi2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog23% won 14 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHoncharenko9wins
AwayLevytskyi1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHoncharenko leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHoncharenko83.3%5 of 6
AwayLevytskyi0%0 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Honcharenko6Levytskyi4n = 10Honcharenko took 6 of 10
S2Honcharenko6Levytskyi4n = 10Honcharenko took 6 of 10
S3Honcharenko9Levytskyi1n = 10Honcharenko took 9 of 10
S4Honcharenko7Levytskyi1n = 8Honcharenko took 7 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHoncharenkoLevytskyiH − LBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.134.8+7.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoncharenkoLevytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime433 / 842 vs 132 / 29951.4%44.2%433 / 842 vs 132 / 299Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoncharenkoHoncharenko 1.61/Levytskyi 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Honcharenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Levytskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 27 · 17:29S. Honcharenko5018714113O. Levytskyi4716111281
WAug 27 · 15:00S. Honcharenko4391211113O. Levytskyi341110671
WAug 14 · 06:00S. Honcharenko44101211113O. Levytskyi371210691
WAug 7 · 09:30S. Honcharenko45111211113O. Levytskyi40914981
WAug 2 · 04:58S. Honcharenko3851111113O. Levytskyi29118551
LJul 28 · 16:00S. Honcharenko5413159892O. Levytskyi5711131111113
WJul 19 · 17:04S. Honcharenko331111113O. Levytskyi134450
WJul 19 · 12:30S. Honcharenko3912511113O. Levytskyi331011481
WJun 30 · 05:30S. Honcharenko331111113O. Levytskyi238870
S. Honcharenko10
LSep 27 · 16:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.441111113S. Honcharenko2.637850WSep 27 · 14:30O. Levytskyi2.25121111772S. Honcharenko1.571091311103LSep 27 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.67111111113S. Honcharenko2.10137281WSep 27 · 12:00A. Danylov3.751110911112S. Honcharenko1.25912117133LSep 25 · 10:58V. Matviichuk2.25111011113S. Honcharenko1.57712481LSep 25 · 09:30V. Saakian1.4011121112113S. Honcharenko2.7591471452WSep 25 · 08:00S. Honcharenko1.1411114123V. Khyzhnyak5.009611101WSep 25 · 06:30S. Honcharenko1.281111113V. Hyriavyi3.507880WSep 25 · 05:00S. Honcharenko1.5314662V. Matviichuk2.38121131LSep 24 · 10:38S. Honcharenko3.4061211682M. Pohorilyi1.301110911113
O. Levytskyi10
WSep 27 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.83813581O. Levytskyi1.83111111113LSep 27 · 14:30O. Levytskyi2.25121111772S. Honcharenko1.571091311103LSep 27 · 13:30A. Danylov1.80811118123O. Levytskyi1.91118811102WSep 27 · 12:30O. Levytskyi3.4011311113Y. Zvolynskyi1.30611731WSep 24 · 17:38O. Levytskyi1.911381111113R. Sveshnykov1.80111113692WSep 24 · 16:00O. Levytskyi1.251111113V. Hyriavyi3.757380WSep 24 · 15:00O. Badanin3.7521111532O. Levytskyi1.25118711113LSep 24 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov2.2011114113O. Levytskyi1.61841181LSep 24 · 12:30A. Danylov1.83711911113O. Levytskyi1.8311511842WSep 13 · 16:59O. Levytskyi1.8311711113S. Zherykhin1.83911741
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