TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Andrle vs Julius Didi 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511117811118711
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:51 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJulius Didi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Andrle above · Julius Didi below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 90 set 5, 7-11 · our read held Julius Didi at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Andrle 5–4 Julius Didi Julius Didi has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:5154.0%Our read52.4%to break even at 1.909
clears by 1.6pp52.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.909 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Andrle
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Andrle 1422 vs Didi 1441
Didi
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Andrle 20% vs Didi 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Andrle 30% vs Didi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Andrle -1 · Didi -3
Didi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Didi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didi form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAndrle 1.80 / Didi 1.909
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Didi)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13242915
Andrle1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 04)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite51% won 50 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it93% 28 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it78% 39 of 50
Didi1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 04)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 90 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back20% 19 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeAndrle5wins
AwayDidi4wins
4 of 9 to a deciderAndrle leads 5–4, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAndrle100%3 of 3
AwayDidi66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Andrle3Didi6n = 9Didi took 6 of 9
S2Andrle7Didi2n = 9Andrle took 7 of 9
S3Andrle3Didi6n = 9Didi took 6 of 9
S4Andrle5Didi2n = 7Andrle took 5 of 7
S5Andrle2Didi2n = 4split evenly
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricAndrleDidiA − DBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match38.040.3−2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAndrleDidiBasisWin rate · lifetime233 / 483 vs 405 / 78448.2%51.7%233 / 483 vs 405 / 784Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DidiAndrle 1.80/Didi 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Didi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Didi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WOct 5 · 09:08T. Andrle341111123J. Didi2486100
LOct 5 · 06:00T. Andrle4251181172J. Didi48117118113
LOct 3 · 22:00T. Andrle52141111972J. Didi54167911113
WSep 7 · 09:28T. Andrle4011117113J. Didi30831181
LSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle25413441J. Didi44111111113
WAug 28 · 22:00T. Andrle461110311113J. Didi4251211592
LAug 21 · 22:30T. Andrle81340J. Didi331111113
WAug 6 · 21:30T. Andrle511511311113J. Didi4917911752
WAug 6 · 19:00T. Andrle4481114113J. Didi391181281
T. Andrle10
WOct 5 · 09:08J. Didi2.1086100T. Andrle1.671111123LOct 5 · 08:00T. Andrle1.838811121J. Steffan1.8311119143LOct 5 · 07:30M. Smrcek1.83119117113T. Andrle1.8371151182LOct 4 · 02:59O. Kucirek1.911414113T. Andrle1.80121240WOct 4 · 02:30O. Kucirek1.91951181T. Andrle1.8011115113LOct 4 · 01:00J. Steffan1.6711118113T. Andrle2.10881191LOct 3 · 23:30T. Andrle1.805111271M. Placek1.9111314113LOct 3 · 22:00T. Andrle1.57141111972J. Didi2.25167911113WSep 26 · 03:00P. Picek1.771191081T. Andrle1.9381112113LSep 26 · 01:30T. Andrle2.0011911542K. Darin1.73911711113
J. Didi10
LOct 5 · 09:08J. Didi2.1086100T. Andrle1.671111123WOct 5 · 08:30J. Didi1.8391111133M. Smrcek1.831168111LOct 5 · 07:00J. Didi1.9110780J. Steffan1.801211113LOct 4 · 02:00J. Steffan1.8311117163J. Didi1.839911141LOct 4 · 00:30J. Didi2.0051090M. Placek1.731112113LOct 3 · 23:00J. Didi1.7391111852O. Kucirek2.00114811113WOct 3 · 22:00T. Andrle1.57141111972J. Didi2.25167911113LOct 3 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.707111211113J. Didi2.0211614882WOct 3 · 08:30J. Didi1.88111011113J. Steffan1.82812971LOct 3 · 07:00J. Didi1.73771151V. Nohejl2.0011116113
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