TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Radovan Solle vs Radek Benes 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
51113116111214––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:09 and never touched: 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeRadek Benes to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingRadovan Solle above · Radek Benes below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 83 set 4, 12-14 · our read held Radek Benes at 63.6%
83 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Solle 0–3 Radek Benes Radovan Solle has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:0963.6%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 1.6pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Benes
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Benes
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Solle 1478 vs Benes 1615
Benes
Correct
both rated, 137 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Solle 40% vs Benes 60%
Benes
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Solle 40% vs Benes 60%
Benes
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Solle +2 · Benes +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% · Clear lean (leans Benes) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSolle 2.375 / Benes 1.533
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Benes)-1.6pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13242580
Solle2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 13 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back32% 6 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Benes1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 182 of 318
Up 2–0, closes it94% 78 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it77% 122 of 158
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSolle0wins
AwayBenes3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderBenes leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Solle1Benes2n = 3Benes took 2 of 3
S2Solle0Benes3n = 3Benes took 3 of 3
S3Solle2Benes1n = 3Solle took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricSolleBenesS − BBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match34.042.3−8.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSolleBenesBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 67 vs 525 / 100641.8%52.2%28 / 67 vs 525 / 1006Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BenesSolle 2.38/Benes 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Benes · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Benes won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 23 · 08:43R. Solle4611911782R. Benes51911911113
LSep 23 · 06:10R. Solle31861161R. Benes4211119113
LJan 14 · 12:10R. Solle2587100R. Benes341111123
R. Solle10
WOct 4 · 13:40L. Dzida1.73911661R. Solle2.0011511113WSep 26 · 20:45I. Heuman1.4415761192R. Solle2.631311119113LSep 26 · 20:10R. Solle2.1011981172K. Kleprlik1.67811115113LSep 26 · 18:40I. Heuman1.5011119113R. Solle2.50881181LSep 26 · 18:10D. Vitasek1.90116118113R. Solle1.8091191152LSep 26 · 16:46R. Solle2.389712121T. Fojtik1.53111110143LSep 26 · 16:10R. Solle1.8311691392D. Vitasek1.838111111113WSep 26 · 14:40T. Fojtik1.6191161172R. Solle2.20118119113LSep 26 · 14:10E. Precek1.401011111033R. Solle2.7512441202WSep 23 · 13:13R. Solle2.63781111213L. Kantor1.44111155192
R. Benes10
WOct 4 · 14:10R. Benes2.2091111113D. Velky Jr1.61118361LOct 1 · 08:38R. Benes1.441061251E. Precek2.63121110113WOct 1 · 08:10R. Benes1.6111114133E. Precek2.209911111LOct 1 · 06:40B. Mrowetz1.6711911113R. Benes2.10611771WOct 1 · 06:10J. Krupnik1.8399111182R. Benes1.83111197113WSep 30 · 13:08M. Moravec1.839112111R. Benes1.8311911133LSep 30 · 11:40M. Moravec2.001113113R. Benes1.7361180WSep 30 · 11:10L. Dzida2.008650R. Benes1.731111113WSep 30 · 10:10R. Benes1.83121210113T. Kindl1.8310101291LSep 30 · 09:09R. Sedlacek2.001191110113R. Benes1.7351161292
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.