TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Badanin vs Volodymyr Khyzhnyak 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119711811114911
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:21 and never touched: 61.5% is still 61.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Badanin to win
61.5%
61.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Badanin above · Volodymyr Khyzhnyak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 92 set 5, 9-11 · our read held Oleksandr Badanin at 61.5%
92 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Badanin 10–5 Volodymyr Khyzhnyak Volodymyr Khyzhnyak has won 5 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:2161.5%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 5.2pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Badanin
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
10-5 in 15
Badanin
Wrong
gap of 5 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Badanin 1168 vs Khyzhnyak 1163
Badanin
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Badanin 60% vs Khyzhnyak 80%
Khyzhnyak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Badanin 60% vs Khyzhnyak 80%
Khyzhnyak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Badanin +2 · Khyzhnyak +4
Khyzhnyak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Slight lean (leans Badanin) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khyzhnyak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBadanin 1.50 / Khyzhnyak 2.50
Signal prob.62% / 39%
Edge (Badanin)-5.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13240840
Badanin1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 02)
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 30 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Khyzhnyak2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 01)
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog29% won 25 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back8% 4 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBadanin7wins
AwayKhyzhnyak3wins
Badanin leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBadanin83.3%5 of 6
AwayKhyzhnyak50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Badanin6Khyzhnyak4n = 10Badanin took 6 of 10
S2Badanin4Khyzhnyak6n = 10Khyzhnyak took 6 of 10
S3Badanin8Khyzhnyak2n = 10Badanin took 8 of 10
S4Badanin5Khyzhnyak2n = 7Badanin took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBadaninKhyzhnyakB − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.730.4+7.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBadaninKhyzhnyakBasisWin rate · lifetime154 / 322 vs 65 / 18047.8%36.1%154 / 322 vs 65 / 180Avg sets wonper match1.91.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.434.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BadaninBadanin 1.50/Khyzhnyak 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.5%
Badanin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Khyzhnyak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 07:00O. Badanin37991181V. Khyzhnyak3411111113
WSep 4 · 06:00O. Badanin4011711113V. Khyzhnyak23411531
LJun 15 · 05:00O. Badanin2578100V. Khyzhnyak341111123
WApr 28 · 07:00O. Badanin45111111123V. Khyzhnyak388137101
WApr 16 · 08:30O. Badanin43101111113V. Khyzhnyak29127281
WApr 10 · 09:30O. Badanin4111811113V. Khyzhnyak29211791
LMar 20 · 06:00O. Badanin361177111V. Khyzhnyak4051111133
WMar 17 · 11:03O. Badanin4491111133V. Khyzhnyak361186111
WMar 17 · 07:00O. Badanin331111113V. Khyzhnyak217860
WFeb 3 · 07:00O. Badanin331111113V. Khyzhnyak204790
O. Badanin10
WOct 4 · 07:30O. Badanin1.537101111113S. Zherykhin2.3811124472LOct 4 · 06:30V. Yarovyi1.83731111113O. Badanin1.8311115982WOct 2 · 09:58O. Badanin3.0041211113M. Zavoloka1.361110591WOct 2 · 09:00O. Badanin1.7361115113Y. Urezchenko2.001161391LOct 2 · 08:00M. Zavoloka1.441111123O. Badanin2.6379100LOct 2 · 07:00V. Saakian1.4411913113O. Badanin2.633111181WOct 2 · 05:30V. Hyriavyi3.255730O. Badanin1.331111113WSep 24 · 17:09V. Hyriavyi3.2511790O. Badanin1.331311113LSep 24 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.3681112113O. Badanin3.001171091LSep 24 · 15:00O. Badanin3.7521111532O. Levytskyi1.25118711113
V. Khyzhnyak10
LOct 4 · 07:00R. Sveshnykov1.361111109113V. Khyzhnyak3.0056121122WOct 1 · 09:58M. Zavoloka1.918790V. Khyzhnyak1.801111113WOct 1 · 09:00V. Khyzhnyak1.73111187113M. Zavoloka2.0075111192WOct 1 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.0011211282V. Khyzhnyak1.73711811113WOct 1 · 07:00V. Matviichuk1.53651151V. Khyzhnyak2.3811116113LOct 1 · 05:30S. Honcharenko1.20111110113V. Khyzhnyak4.33851261WSep 28 · 10:33V. Khyzhnyak4.70115116133S. Honcharenko1.15811511112LSep 28 · 09:30S. Honcharenko1.171111113V. Khyzhnyak4.507490WSep 28 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak1.611111113V. Hyriavyi2.206750WSep 28 · 06:30V. Khyzhnyak5.0011912113A. Lysyi1.149111091
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