TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Kostiantyn Klymenko vs Vladyslav Stukalov 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
3111012411––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:29 and never touched: 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Klymenko to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKostiantyn Klymenko above · Vladyslav Stukalov below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 51 set 3, 4-11 · our read held Kostiantyn Klymenko at 62.1%
51 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Klymenko 17–19 Vladyslav Stukalov Kostiantyn Klymenko has won 17 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:2962.1%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 1.6pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Klymenko
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
17-19 in 36
Stukalov
Correct
gap of 2 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klymenko 1372 vs Stukalov 1178
Klymenko
Wrong
both rated, 194 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klymenko 60% vs Stukalov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klymenko 60% vs Stukalov 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Klymenko -2 · Stukalov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Clear lean (leans Klymenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stukalov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlymenko 1.571 / Stukalov 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Klymenko)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13240007
Klymenko1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 110 of 179
Up 2–0, closes it93% 49 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it77% 74 of 96
Stukalov2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 109 of 264
Down 0–1, comes back18% 27 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlymenko7wins
AwayStukalov3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKlymenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlymenko100%5 of 5
AwayStukalov60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klymenko5Stukalov5n = 10split evenly
S2Klymenko6Stukalov4n = 10Klymenko took 6 of 10
S3Klymenko8Stukalov2n = 10Klymenko took 8 of 10
S4Klymenko4Stukalov2n = 6Klymenko took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlymenkoStukalovK − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.635.4+2.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlymenkoStukalovBasisWin rate · lifetime422 / 822 vs 423 / 84951.3%49.8%422 / 822 vs 423 / 849Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KlymenkoKlymenko 1.57/Stukalov 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.1%
Klymenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stukalov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 07:35K. Klymenko44101112113V. Stukalov321271031
WAug 30 · 14:40K. Klymenko361114113V. Stukalov2771280
LAug 28 · 11:05K. Klymenko2010370V. Stukalov341211113
WAug 13 · 05:50K. Klymenko50612156113V. Stukalov541110131192
WAug 1 · 10:30K. Klymenko3911611113V. Stukalov36911971
WJul 30 · 09:35K. Klymenko341112113V. Stukalov2581070
LJul 27 · 07:00K. Klymenko4059111142V. Stukalov49111197113
WJul 26 · 12:10K. Klymenko331111113V. Stukalov195950
WJul 20 · 08:00K. Klymenko4311118133V. Stukalov343911111
LJul 13 · 07:00K. Klymenko3710101161V. Stukalov4412129113
K. Klymenko10
LOct 4 · 11:40K. Klymenko1.50771171M. Khalenko2.5011111113LSep 19 · 11:00K. Klymenko2.7571220O. Ovsiienko1.401114113WSep 19 · 09:00M. Stetsenko3.257119101K. Klymenko1.3311511123WSep 19 · 08:00K. Klymenko1.50751212113S. Semenets2.501111101042WSep 19 · 07:00S. Skhabitskiy1.57127821K. Klymenko2.25101111113LSep 19 · 05:30K. Klymenko3.00131011282V. Melnykov1.361112811113LSep 18 · 11:05V. Mukhin2.101111113K. Klymenko1.677470WSep 18 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.53811147113O. Mytsyk2.38119121182WSep 18 · 09:05K. Klymenko1.5711117113V. Korniichuk2.25591171WSep 18 · 07:35K. Klymenko1.57101112113V. Stukalov2.251271031
V. Stukalov10
WOct 4 · 11:10V. Varchenko1.73117111092V. Stukalov2.00611912113LOct 2 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.171111113V. Stukalov4.509440WOct 2 · 10:05V. Stukalov1.91111187113S. Semenets1.8054111152LOct 2 · 09:05V. Stukalov2.757760M. Khalenko1.401111113WOct 2 · 07:35V. Stukalov2.6351111113S. Skhabitskiy1.44118991LOct 2 · 05:35V. Stukalov1.836740P. Ostrovskyi1.831111113LSep 30 · 11:35V. Stukalov3.0077111132S. Hovorunets1.36111198113LSep 30 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.201111113V. Stukalov4.338840WSep 30 · 08:35V. Stukalov2.0013118113S. Semenets1.731161151LSep 18 · 07:35K. Klymenko1.57101112113V. Stukalov2.251271031
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