TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jakub Levicky vs Samuel Byrtus 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111113117711––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:57 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSamuel Byrtus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Levicky above · Samuel Byrtus below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 80 set 4, 7-11 · our read held Samuel Byrtus at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Levicky 18–27 Samuel Byrtus Jakub Levicky has won 18 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:5754.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.6pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Byrtus
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
18-27 in 45
Byrtus
Correct
gap of 9 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levicky 1598 vs Byrtus 1571
Levicky
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levicky 80% vs Byrtus 60%
Levicky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levicky 70% vs Byrtus 30%
Levicky
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Levicky +1 · Byrtus -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Byrtus) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levicky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevicky 1.909 / Byrtus 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Byrtus)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13238891
Levicky1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 57 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back20% 16 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 46
Byrtus1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 86 of 143
Up 2–0, closes it91% 40 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it75% 59 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLevicky2wins
AwayByrtus8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderByrtus leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevicky66.7%2 of 3
AwayByrtus100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levicky3Byrtus7n = 10Byrtus took 7 of 10
S2Levicky7Byrtus3n = 10Levicky took 7 of 10
S3Levicky6Byrtus4n = 10Levicky took 6 of 10
S4Levicky1Byrtus8n = 9Byrtus took 8 of 9
S5Levicky0Byrtus3n = 3Byrtus took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLevickyByrtusL − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.342.3−3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevickyByrtusBasisWin rate · lifetime452 / 891 vs 289 / 56150.7%51.5%452 / 891 vs 289 / 561Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ByrtusLevicky 1.91/Byrtus 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Byrtus · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Byrtus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 09:29J. Levicky30413491S. Byrtus44111111113
WSep 18 · 08:30J. Levicky4311812123S. Byrtus3541110101
LAug 17 · 21:30J. Levicky409147101S. Byrtus46111211123
LAug 17 · 19:30J. Levicky44101111572S. Byrtus49129611113
LJun 23 · 08:30J. Levicky4161111762S. Byrtus47119511113
WJun 5 · 19:30J. Levicky331111113S. Byrtus258890
LApr 27 · 06:00J. Levicky34581381S. Byrtus44111111113
LApr 25 · 10:00J. Levicky36911971S. Byrtus3511211113
LApr 20 · 10:00J. Levicky3911116111S. Byrtus4691311133
LApr 12 · 17:29J. Levicky53121114972S. Byrtus521441211113
J. Levicky10
WOct 4 · 07:30D. Machander2.20111081152J. Levicky1.61712114113LOct 4 · 06:00J. Levicky1.83211851D. Oborny1.8311311113WOct 2 · 09:30J. Levicky2.25111113113J. Schwan1.581351191WOct 2 · 08:30J. Levicky1.8311179113J. Mikula1.839151191WOct 2 · 07:00J. Levicky2.7511114113J. Schwan1.40781181WOct 2 · 06:00R. Skacelik1.3014881182J. Levicky3.401211117113WSep 28 · 17:00J. Levicky1.73138411113D. Oborny2.00111111992LSep 28 · 16:00J. Levicky1.8057100J. Stoch1.911111123LSep 28 · 15:30D. Oborny1.83111210113J. Levicky1.837101251WSep 28 · 14:00J. Levicky1.731111113M. Heczko2.008850
S. Byrtus10
LOct 4 · 07:00D. Oborny1.57111111113S. Byrtus2.25791351WOct 4 · 06:30S. Byrtus1.7311119113D. Machander2.00561161LSep 25 · 17:30S. Byrtus2.25671161A. Walek1.5711113113WSep 25 · 16:30A. Walek2.00710110S. Byrtus1.731112133WSep 25 · 15:30S. Byrtus1.8011111010113D. Langer1.9188121282LSep 25 · 14:30D. Heczko1.7311121111113S. Byrtus2.0091413862LSep 22 · 08:58D. Machander2.10811116113S. Byrtus1.6711681192LSep 22 · 08:00S. Byrtus1.3311941282P. Danko3.253111110113LSep 22 · 07:30D. Machander2.20115811113S. Byrtus1.6171111972LSep 22 · 06:00S. Byrtus1.73117531A. Rinka2.0051111113
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