TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Evzen Rychlik vs Daniel Langer 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
31111841112101113
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:22 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Langer to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingEvzen Rychlik above · Daniel Langer below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 94 set 5, 11-13 · our read held Daniel Langer at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Evzen Rychlik 1–2 Daniel Langer Evzen Rychlik has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:2254.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.6pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Langer
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rychlik 1639 vs Langer 1726
Langer
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rychlik 60% vs Langer 80%
Langer
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rychlik 60% vs Langer 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rychlik +3 · Langer -1
Rychlik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Langer) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Langer form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRychlik 1.909 / Langer 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Langer)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13238763
Rychlik1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 3 of 10
Down 0–1, comes back25% 2 of 8
Langer1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 100 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it98% 57 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it86% 72 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeRychlik1wins
AwayLanger2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderLanger leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rychlik1Langer2n = 3Langer took 2 of 3
S2Rychlik1Langer2n = 3Langer took 2 of 3
S3Rychlik1Langer2n = 3Langer took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricRychlikLangerR − LBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match37.044.7−7.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRychlikLangerBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 225 vs 130 / 19355.1%67.4%124 / 225 vs 130 / 193Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LangerRychlik 1.91/Langer 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Langer · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Langer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LOct 4 · 07:30E. Rychlik41311412112D. Langer531181110133
LSep 26 · 14:00E. Rychlik199280D. Langer331111113
WAug 29 · 15:30E. Rychlik511141312113D. Langer48911111432
E. Rychlik10
LOct 4 · 08:30R. Skacelik2.00125811113E. Rychlik1.73101111892WOct 4 · 06:30D. Heczko2.001391061E. Rychlik1.73111112113WSep 26 · 16:59E. Rychlik1.331111113J. Schwan3.255650WSep 26 · 16:00E. Rychlik1.401111113J. Schwan2.756780LSep 26 · 15:30A. Walek1.83111110113E. Rychlik1.83381241LSep 26 · 14:00E. Rychlik1.579280D. Langer2.251111113WAug 30 · 17:01V. Zidek1.839850E. Rychlik1.831111113LAug 30 · 16:00E. Rychlik1.6171080D. Heczko2.201112113LAug 30 · 15:30V. Zidek2.001311113E. Rychlik1.7311850WAug 30 · 14:00E. Rychlik1.801211123R. Skacelik1.91108100
D. Langer10
WOct 4 · 08:00D. Langer1.361311113D. Heczko3.0011970LOct 4 · 06:00D. Langer1.5711980R. Skacelik2.251311113WSep 29 · 17:30D. Langer1.6711711113A. Walek2.10711461WSep 29 · 16:00D. Langer1.739111313113A. Walek2.00117111572WSep 29 · 15:30V. Adamczyk2.6310960D. Langer1.441211113WSep 29 · 14:00D. Langer1.571111113J. Schwan2.258580LSep 28 · 17:30D. Langer1.579970T. Petrek2.251111113LSep 28 · 16:00A. Walek2.00111211173D. Langer1.738149151WSep 28 · 15:00D. Heczko2.7561111262D. Langer1.40119211113WSep 26 · 14:00E. Rychlik1.579280D. Langer2.251111113
Upcoming Matches
E. Rychlik
Nothing scheduled
D. Langer
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.