TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Ponomarenko vs Oleh Efimov 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171210119––––
Oleh Efimov
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:50 and never touched: 73.9% is still 73.9%
Graded at full timeOleh Ponomarenko to win
73.9%
73.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Ponomarenko above · Oleh Efimov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 60 set 3, 11-9 · our read held Oleh Ponomarenko at 73.9%
60 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Ponomarenko 6–1 Oleh Efimov Oleh Efimov has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:5073.9%Our read76.9%to break even at 1.30
short by 3.0pp76.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.30 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Ponomarenko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Ponomarenko
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ponomarenko 1056 vs Efimov 829
Ponomarenko
Correct
both rated, 228 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ponomarenko 80% vs Efimov 20%
Ponomarenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ponomarenko 70% vs Efimov 20%
Ponomarenko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ponomarenko -1 · Efimov -3
Efimov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% · Strong (leans Ponomarenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPonomarenko 1.30 / Efimov 3.40
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Ponomarenko)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13229394
Ponomarenko1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 26)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 74 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it98% 41 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it88% 56 of 64
Efimov3.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 25) · back after a break
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog19% won 4 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back15% 2 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomePonomarenko6wins
AwayEfimov1wins
Ponomarenko leads 6–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePonomarenko100%5 of 5
AwayEfimovn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ponomarenko5Efimov2n = 7Ponomarenko took 5 of 7
S2Ponomarenko4Efimov3n = 7Ponomarenko took 4 of 7
S3Ponomarenko5Efimov2n = 7Ponomarenko took 5 of 7
S4Ponomarenko4Efimov0n = 4Ponomarenko took 4 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home457%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricPonomarenkoEfimovP − EBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match36.928.7+8.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPonomarenkoEfimovBasisWin rate · lifetime308 / 661 vs 10 / 4846.6%20.8%308 / 661 vs 10 / 48Avg sets wonper match1.91.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.432.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PonomarenkoPonomarenko 1.30/Efimov 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.9%
Ponomarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ponomarenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 25 · 13:30O. Ponomarenko3099120O. Efimov361111143
WJun 2 · 05:30O. Ponomarenko4012611113O. Efimov351011861
WApr 23 · 13:10O. Ponomarenko331111113O. Efimov217950
WApr 16 · 07:05O. Ponomarenko4071111113O. Efimov29114771
WApr 3 · 09:05O. Ponomarenko331111113O. Efimov158610
WFeb 6 · 09:30O. Ponomarenko4312118123O. Efimov3510411101
WJan 30 · 11:00O. Ponomarenko3911611113O. Efimov30711841
O. Ponomarenko10
WOct 2 · 13:30O. Ponomarenko1.501111113D. Kunchurov2.509870LSep 26 · 10:30O. Ponomarenko3.7589111482O. Stopin1.251111912113WSep 26 · 09:00O. Ponomarenko1.301191111163M. Mykhailenko3.40911135142WSep 26 · 07:30O. Ponomarenko1.441111113D. Kunchurov2.638480WSep 26 · 06:00O. Ponomarenko1.401111113K. Tsoi2.759560WSep 26 · 04:30O. Ponomarenko1.361111143K. Vernudin3.0089120WSep 25 · 18:00O. Ponomarenko1.3311911113K. Vernudin3.25511851WSep 25 · 16:30O. Ponomarenko1.3313126113M. Mykhailenko3.2511101191WSep 25 · 15:00O. Ponomarenko1.83751111113V. Mykhalchenko1.8311116892LSep 25 · 13:30O. Ponomarenko1.1799120O. Efimov4.501111143
O. Efimov10
WOct 2 · 14:00V. Mykhalchenko1.10113811102O. Efimov6.50711118123LSep 25 · 19:00V. Mykhalchenko1.251111113O. Efimov3.754730LSep 25 · 17:30O. Efimov3.40121020D. Kunchurov1.301412103LSep 25 · 15:30M. Mykhailenko2.63911116143O. Efimov1.44119811122WSep 25 · 13:30O. Ponomarenko1.1799120O. Efimov4.501111143LSep 25 · 12:30K. Vernudin1.611111143O. Efimov2.2065120LAug 28 · 18:00O. Efimov3.25311361S. Osipov1.3311911113WAug 28 · 16:30O. Efimov1.611111113M. Mykhailenko2.208860LAug 28 · 15:00O. Efimov2.6312271182V. Mykhalchenko1.441011119113LAug 28 · 13:30O. Efimov1.61101121152S. Kuzko2.201211105113
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