TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Levytskyi vs Roman Sveshnykov 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118411611811––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:18 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Levytskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Levytskyi above · Roman Sveshnykov below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 70 set 4, 8-11 · our read held Oleksandr Levytskyi at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Levytskyi 12–4 Roman Sveshnykov Roman Sveshnykov has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:1854.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.9pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Levytskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
12-4 in 16
Levytskyi
Wrong
gap of 8 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levytskyi 1228 vs Sveshnykov 1338
Sveshnykov
Correct
both rated, 110 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levytskyi 40% vs Sveshnykov 80%
Sveshnykov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levytskyi 60% vs Sveshnykov 80%
Sveshnykov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Levytskyi -1 · Sveshnykov +3
Sveshnykov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Levytskyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sveshnykov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevytskyi 1.727 / Sveshnykov 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Levytskyi)-3.9pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13229126
Levytskyi1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 24 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Sveshnykov2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 27 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back13% 5 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLevytskyi7wins
AwaySveshnykov3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevytskyi leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevytskyi100%5 of 5
AwaySveshnykov60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levytskyi5Sveshnykov5n = 10split evenly
S2Levytskyi4Sveshnykov6n = 10Sveshnykov took 6 of 10
S3Levytskyi6Sveshnykov4n = 10Levytskyi took 6 of 10
S4Levytskyi5Sveshnykov1n = 6Levytskyi took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLevytskyiSveshnykovL − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.934.8+3.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevytskyiSveshnykovBasisWin rate · lifetime127 / 291 vs 123 / 29343.6%42%127 / 291 vs 123 / 293Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.135.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LevytskyiLevytskyi 1.73/Sveshnykov 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Levytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sveshnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 27 · 15:30O. Levytskyi44111111113R. Sveshnykov34813581
WSep 24 · 17:38O. Levytskyi541381111113R. Sveshnykov50111113692
LSep 24 · 14:00O. Levytskyi31841181R. Sveshnykov3711114113
LSep 3 · 17:33O. Levytskyi2691070R. Sveshnykov341112113
WSep 3 · 15:30O. Levytskyi361111143R. Sveshnykov2448120
WAug 2 · 05:59O. Levytskyi44101112113R. Sveshnykov371261091
WJun 6 · 14:30O. Levytskyi44111012113R. Sveshnykov377121081
WMay 24 · 13:30O. Levytskyi4211119113R. Sveshnykov27461161
LApr 25 · 05:30O. Levytskyi204790R. Sveshnykov331111113
O. Levytskyi10
LOct 2 · 12:00O. Levytskyi2.107411101S. Honcharenko1.6711118123WSep 27 · 16:59S. Honcharenko1.61610111152O. Levytskyi2.20111245113WSep 27 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.83813581O. Levytskyi1.83111111113LSep 27 · 14:30O. Levytskyi2.25121111772S. Honcharenko1.571091311103LSep 27 · 13:30A. Danylov1.80811118123O. Levytskyi1.91118811102WSep 27 · 12:30O. Levytskyi3.4011311113Y. Zvolynskyi1.30611731WSep 24 · 17:38O. Levytskyi1.911381111113R. Sveshnykov1.80111113692WSep 24 · 16:00O. Levytskyi1.251111113V. Hyriavyi3.757380WSep 24 · 15:00O. Badanin3.7521111532O. Levytskyi1.25118711113LSep 24 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov2.2011114113O. Levytskyi1.61841181
R. Sveshnykov10
WOct 2 · 12:30R. Sveshnykov1.281011711113A. Danylov3.5012311462WSep 27 · 17:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.258911111R. Sveshnykov1.5711118133WSep 27 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.3091111113A. Danylov3.40113471LSep 27 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.83813581O. Levytskyi1.83111111113WSep 27 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov1.57912118113Y. Zvolynskyi2.25111041172WSep 27 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.67111111113S. Honcharenko2.10137281LSep 24 · 17:38O. Levytskyi1.911381111113R. Sveshnykov1.80111113692WSep 24 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.3681112113O. Badanin3.001171091WSep 24 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.30119911113A. Danylov3.4051111772WSep 24 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov2.2011114113O. Levytskyi1.61841181
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.