TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jirasek Martin vs Miroslav Cyrus 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11614121012114––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:02 and never touched: 75.9% is still 75.9%
Graded at full timeJirasek Martin to win
75.9%
75.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJirasek Martin above · Miroslav Cyrus below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 80 set 4, 11-4 · our read held Jirasek Martin at 75.9%
80 points played in total.
H2H Jirasek Martin 1–0 Miroslav Cyrus Miroslav Cyrus has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:0275.9%Our read77.8%to break even at 1.285
short by 1.9pp77.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.285 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Martin
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Martin 1502 vs Cyrus 1304
Martin
Correct
both rated, 199 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martin 80% vs Cyrus 0%
Martin
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martin 40% vs Cyrus 20%
Martin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Martin +1 · Cyrus -6
Cyrus
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% · Strong (leans Martin) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cyrus form (0%) is below what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartin 1.285 / Cyrus 3.50
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Martin)-1.9pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13221032
Martin1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 31 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it80% 24 of 30
Cyrus3.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 19 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back17% 6 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMartin1wins
AwayCyrus0wins
Martin leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMartinCyrusM − CBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.022.0+11.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinCyrusBasisWin rate · lifetime65 / 122 vs 89 / 20153.3%44.3%65 / 122 vs 89 / 201Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MartinMartin 1.28/Cyrus 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.9%
Martin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Martin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 29 · 18:05J. Martin331111113M. Cyrus226790
J. Martin10
WSep 30 · 20:05J. Martin1.5711119133L. Vosyka2.258811111WSep 30 · 18:05J. Martin1.571111113R. Jonas2.259750LSep 29 · 21:45J. Martin1.57811116152T. Krcil2.25118811173WSep 29 · 20:05J. Martin1.53127115113T. Krcil2.38101171182WSep 29 · 19:05J. Martin1.83127811123J. Kabelka1.831011117102WSep 29 · 18:05J. Martin1.401111113M. Cyrus2.756790LSep 26 · 21:10L. Vana1.677111110113J. Martin2.1011971252LSep 26 · 20:35J. Martin2.25491361L. Vana1.57111111113LSep 26 · 19:05D. Hons1.80711116113J. Martin1.9111771182LSep 26 · 18:35K. Lahodny1.83961111113J. Martin1.8311119952
M. Cyrus10
WSep 30 · 21:03R. Jonas1.61891181M. Cyrus2.2011114113LSep 30 · 20:35M. Cyrus1.803530R. Jonas1.911111113LSep 30 · 18:35L. Vosyka1.4011116113M. Cyrus2.75681151LSep 29 · 21:14J. Kabelka1.6161111113M. Cyrus2.20115791LSep 29 · 20:35J. Kabelka1.7311119113M. Cyrus2.00921131LSep 29 · 19:35M. Cyrus2.751151161T. Krcil1.4013119113LSep 29 · 18:05J. Martin1.401111113M. Cyrus2.756790LSep 18 · 21:48J. Kabelka1.831111113M. Cyrus1.839680WSep 18 · 20:35M. Cyrus1.91116135113M. Dvorak1.80811111172LSep 18 · 19:05J. Kabelka1.91119119113M. Cyrus1.8071171182
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