Ivan Efimenko vs Maksym Tiutiunnyk 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Sep 30Finished

Ivan Efimenko

Home

1.83

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

7111129111113––

Maksym Tiutiunnyk

Away

1.83

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:30 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Ivan Efimenko to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingIvan Efimenko above · Maksym Tiutiunnyk below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 11-2

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 11-13

Point 75 set 4, 11-13 · our read held Ivan Efimenko at 54.0%

75 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 11:30

54.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833

short by 0.6pp

54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Tiutiunnyk

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Efimenko 1649 vs Tiutiunnyk 1625

Efimenko

Wrong

both rated, 24 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Efimenko 60% vs Tiutiunnyk 40%

Efimenko

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Efimenko 60% vs Tiutiunnyk 50%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Efimenko -1 · Tiutiunnyk -2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Efimenko) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Tiutiunnyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsEfimenko 1.833 / Tiutiunnyk 1.833

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Efimenko)-0.6pp

Setka Cup · #13218834

Efimenko1.83

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 26)

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

Tiutiunnyk1.83

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 26)

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricEfimenkoTiutiunnykBasisWin rate · lifetime21 / 35 vs 204 / 41160%49.6%21 / 35 vs 204 / 411Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Efimenko

Efimenko 1.83/Tiutiunnyk 1.83

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Efimenko · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Tiutiunnyk won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

I. Efimenko10