TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Josef Pelikan vs Jan Framberk 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211311511––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:52 and never touched: 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeJan Framberk to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJosef Pelikan above · Jan Framberk below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 43 set 3, 5-11 · our read held Jan Framberk at 56.7%
43 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:5256.7%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 7.0pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Framberk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Pelikan 1267 vs Framberk 1346
Framberk
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelikan 0% vs Framberk 40%
Framberk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelikan 40% vs Framberk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelikan -6 · Framberk +1
Pelikan
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Framberk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Framberk form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelikan 2.25 / Framberk 1.571
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Framberk)-7.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13216889
Pelikan2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 23 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Framberk1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 50 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it79% 34 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelikanFramberkBasisWin rate · lifetime154 / 308 vs 88 / 16550%53.3%154 / 308 vs 88 / 165Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
FramberkPelikan 2.25/Framberk 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.7%
Framberk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Framberk won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Pelikan10
LSep 30 · 20:59V. Hruska Sr1.5311811113J. Pelikan2.38511951LSep 30 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.831111113J. Pelikan1.839620LSep 30 · 18:00J. Pelikan2.631111491V. Hruska Sr1.4471311113LSep 26 · 03:00A. Schneeberger1.3091111113J. Pelikan3.40115651LSep 26 · 02:30J. Pelikan2.207670P. Bruzek1.611111113LSep 26 · 01:30A. Schneeberger1.501111113J. Pelikan2.508760LSep 26 · 00:00J. Pelikan1.4461181192P. Berdych2.63118118113WSep 25 · 23:00M. Novotny2.758111031J. Pelikan1.4011712113WSep 23 · 03:30J. Pleskot2.201181114112J. Pelikan1.60611816133WSep 23 · 02:30P. Bruzek1.53121011982J. Pelikan2.381012911113
J. Framberk10
WSep 30 · 19:00V. Hruska Sr2.501314911102J. Framberk1.501512115123LSep 30 · 18:28J. Framberk3.251251151V. Dolezal1.33101113113LSep 22 · 21:30T. Regner2.101111113J. Framberk1.665990LSep 22 · 20:30M. Barta2.751111113J. Framberk1.404850WSep 22 · 19:30J. Framberk1.731111113P. Franc2.007560WSep 22 · 18:30T. Regner2.25114891J. Framberk1.5791111113WSep 22 · 17:00P. Berdych1.83671111112J. Framberk1.83111188133WSep 22 · 16:30V. Hruska Sr2.206840J. Framberk1.611111113LSep 22 · 15:30J. Framberk1.8011812982P. Berdych1.919111011113LSep 22 · 14:30Z. Drabek1.831111123J. Framberk1.8338100
Upcoming Matches
J. Pelikan
Nothing scheduled
J. Framberk
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