TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Radek Neterda vs Ondrej Pros 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
5111121210116––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:26 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Pros to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Neterda above · Ondrej Pros below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 68 set 4, 11-6 · our read held Ondrej Pros at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Radek Neterda 2–9 Ondrej Pros Radek Neterda has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:26What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pros
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-9 in 11
Pros
Wrong
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Neterda 1592 vs Pros 1407
Neterda
Correct
both rated, 185 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Neterda 100% vs Pros 20%
Neterda
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Neterda 80% vs Pros 40%
Neterda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Neterda +5 · Pros -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Pros) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pros form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNeterda 2.10 / Pros 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pros)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13213907
Neterda2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog37% won 44 of 119
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Pros1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 17 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNeterda2wins
AwayPros8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPros leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNeterda50%2 of 4
AwayPros100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Neterda4Pros6n = 10Pros took 6 of 10
S2Neterda2Pros8n = 10Pros took 8 of 10
S3Neterda5Pros5n = 10split evenly
S4Neterda2Pros5n = 7Pros took 5 of 7
S5Neterda1Pros3n = 4Pros took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricNeterdaProsN − PBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.442.3−3.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNeterdaProsBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 454 vs 120 / 26551.1%45.3%232 / 454 vs 120 / 265Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.035.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ProsNeterda 2.10/Pros 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pros · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Neterda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 10:35R. Neterda28811451O. Pros4011711113
LSep 1 · 13:20R. Neterda511191110102O. Pros50711812123
LSep 1 · 12:35R. Neterda4510111591O. Pros49121313113
LAug 4 · 12:35R. Neterda198920O. Pros331111113
LJun 28 · 18:05R. Neterda49131081172O. Pros531112118113
LJun 15 · 10:35R. Neterda2591150O. Pros351113113
LMar 13 · 14:05R. Neterda505111212102O. Pros561191014123
WMar 13 · 12:35R. Neterda54118119153O. Pros46511611132
LFeb 21 · 14:40R. Neterda226970O. Pros331111113
WDec 26 · 13:35R. Neterda4111811113O. Pros28911261
R. Neterda10
WSep 29 · 11:05J. Ruzicka1.671411117102R. Neterda2.101213411123WSep 29 · 10:35J. Lovl1.737780R. Neterda2.001111113WSep 28 · 17:35M. Flesar2.75915391R. Neterda1.40111311113WSep 28 · 16:05R. Neterda1.44111214113M. Flesar2.639101641WSep 28 · 15:05R. Neterda1.611111113M. Chmelicek2.203460LSep 28 · 14:05R. Neterda1.7311771162T. Motacek2.00511114113WSep 25 · 13:04R. Neterda1.5311911113K. Lahodny2.38811561WSep 25 · 12:35R. Neterda1.831111113K. Lahodny1.836780WSep 25 · 11:05M. Holub1.91411111172R. Neterda1.80118913113LSep 25 · 10:35J. Ruzicka1.731111113R. Neterda2.007970
O. Pros10
LSep 29 · 11:35O. Pros2.758590J. Lovl1.401111113LSep 29 · 10:05J. Ruzicka1.331111113O. Pros3.253790LSep 24 · 09:05T. Trnka1.33111111113O. Pros3.25613321WSep 24 · 08:35M. Flesar2.388111171O. Pros1.5311513113LSep 24 · 07:35O. Pros4.504121181P. Chvatal1.1711149113LSep 24 · 06:05T. Trnka1.531111113O. Pros2.388790LSep 17 · 13:39O. Pros2.2064110J. Ruzicka1.611111133WSep 17 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.361051181O. Pros3.0012116113WSep 17 · 11:35L. Vosyka1.40461151O. Pros2.5211119113WSep 17 · 10:35O. Pros1.8011711113R. Neterda1.91811451
Upcoming Matches
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