TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Michal Raska vs Radek Sedlacek 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811118811211––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:12 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeRadek Sedlacek to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Raska above · Radek Sedlacek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 70 set 4, 2-11 — our read held Radek Sedlacek at 66.7%
70 points played in total.
H2H Michal Raska 3–3 Radek Sedlacek Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Raska beat Sedlacek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:12What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Sedlacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Raska 1538 vs Sedlacek 1546
Sedlacek
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Raska 80% vs Sedlacek 60%
Raska
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Raska 40% vs Sedlacek 60%
Sedlacek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Raska +3 · Sedlacek +1
Raska
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Sedlacek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedlacek form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRaska 2.75 / Sedlacek 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Sedlacek)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13209999
Raska2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 66 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back24% 15 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Sedlacek1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 41 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it79% 15 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it68% 26 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeRaska3wins
AwaySedlacek3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRaskan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySedlacek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Raska1Sedlacek5n = 6Sedlacek took 5 of 6
S2Raska3Sedlacek3n = 6split evenly
S3Raska4Sedlacek2n = 6Raska took 4 of 6
S4Raska1Sedlacek4n = 5Sedlacek took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricRaskaSedlacekR − SBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match37.539.8−2.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRaskaSedlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 510 vs 156 / 33347.5%46.9%242 / 510 vs 156 / 333Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SedlacekRaska 2.75/Sedlacek 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.7%
Sedlacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sedlacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 28 · 09:15M. Raska29811821R. Sedlacek4111811113
WSep 28 · 07:10M. Raska481110115113R. Sedlacek4991291182
WAug 18 · 13:20M. Raska47611118113R. Sedlacek4511681192
LAug 18 · 10:45M. Raska237970R. Sedlacek331111113
WJun 1 · 20:50M. Raska4181111113R. Sedlacek30118651
LJun 1 · 18:15M. Raska379101171R. Sedlacek4111127113
M. Raska10
WSep 28 · 08:10D. Vitasek1.83121161572M. Raska1.831471113113WSep 28 · 07:10M. Raska2.751110115113R. Sedlacek1.4091291182WSep 28 · 05:40T. Krenek1.401191191M. Raska2.7591113113LSep 24 · 20:44M. Raska2.00119118142D. Branny1.73911511163WSep 24 · 19:45M. Raska2.001111113D. Branny1.734890LSep 24 · 18:45M. Raska1.9111611992V. Reska1.80611911113LSep 24 · 17:45M. Raska2.0011121191J. Przybyla1.7341413113LSep 23 · 12:43M. Raska2.6311101271T. Krenek1.4491214113LSep 23 · 12:10R. Solle1.7311611153M. Raska2.008116131LSep 23 · 11:10M. Raska2.10711391L. Kantor1.6711811113
R. Sedlacek10
WSep 28 · 07:40T. Krenek1.73811121152R. Sedlacek2.00116147113LSep 28 · 07:10M. Raska2.751110115113R. Sedlacek1.4091291182WSep 28 · 06:10R. Sedlacek1.53111114113D. Vitasek2.381361231LSep 24 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.67951251L. Dzida2.10111110113WSep 24 · 12:10R. Sedlacek1.8011512113L. Dzida1.914111021WSep 24 · 10:40T. Krenek1.73651181R. Sedlacek2.0011119113WSep 24 · 10:10D. Pawlik1.61116191R. Sedlacek2.2051111113LSep 24 · 09:15D. Velky Jr2.0011116113R. Sedlacek1.73491151WSep 24 · 08:10R. Sedlacek1.73131113113T. Kindl2.001141531LSep 24 · 06:40T. Krenek1.671151011113R. Sedlacek2.1091112792
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