TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Matej Nohejl vs Martin Sychra 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911113114114––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Sychra to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMatej Nohejl above · Martin Sychra below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 64 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Martin Sychra at 54.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Matej Nohejl 4–4 Martin Sychra Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Nohejl beat Sychra 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:16What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Sychra
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nohejl 1633 vs Sychra 1616
Nohejl
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nohejl 80% vs Sychra 60%
Nohejl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nohejl 70% vs Sychra 40%
Nohejl
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nohejl -1 · Sychra +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sychra)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nohejl form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 1.95 / Sychra 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sychra)+1.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13207472
Nohejl1.95
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 16 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back20% 4 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Sychra1.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite58% won 220 of 378
Up 2–0, closes it94% 101 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it80% 152 of 191
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeNohejl4wins
AwaySychra4wins
3 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNohejl100%4 of 4
AwaySychra100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nohejl4Sychra4n = 8split evenly
S2Nohejl4Sychra4n = 8split evenly
S3Nohejl3Sychra5n = 8Sychra took 5 of 8
S4Nohejl2Sychra3n = 5Sychra took 3 of 5
S5Nohejl2Sychra1n = 3Nohejl took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricNohejlSychraN − SBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match38.538.4+0.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlSychraBasisWin rate · lifetime93 / 185 vs 806 / 153450.3%52.5%93 / 185 vs 806 / 1534Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SychraNohejl 1.95/Sychra 1.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sychra · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Nohejl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 27 · 14:30M. Nohejl4211119113M. Sychra31681161
LApr 25 · 15:00M. Nohejl216870M. Sychra331111113
LMar 27 · 18:00M. Nohejl2711790M. Sychra351311113
WMar 27 · 15:00M. Nohejl49111238153M. Sychra516101111132
LFeb 25 · 18:30M. Nohejl4481111772M. Sychra43117311113
WFeb 25 · 16:30M. Nohejl381512113M. Sychra30131070
LAug 26 · 14:00M. Nohejl36791191M. Sychra3911116113
WAug 18 · 15:00M. Nohejl511111711113M. Sychra4581311762
M. Nohejl10
LSep 27 · 16:30K. Schopf1.8012129113M. Nohejl1.9110101191WSep 27 · 15:30M. Nohejl2.381111123J. Zuzanek1.5387100WSep 27 · 14:30M. Sychra1.57681161M. Nohejl2.2511119113WSep 20 · 09:30J. Holubec1.578770M. Nohejl2.251111113WSep 20 · 08:00M. Nohejl1.831311113M. Chlebecek1.8311560LSep 20 · 07:30J. Holubec1.80111011113M. Nohejl1.91412991WSep 20 · 06:00M. Nohejl2.201011117113M. Regner1.6112461132WAug 30 · 21:28M. Vizek1.80341171M. Nohejl1.9111118113LAug 30 · 20:00M. Vizek1.73511611113M. Nohejl2.0011811772WAug 30 · 19:00T. Vinter2.758150M. Nohejl1.401111113
M. Sychra10
WSep 27 · 16:00J. Zuzanek1.831111116112M. Sychra1.83613411133WSep 27 · 15:00K. Schopf1.5791170M. Sychra2.251113113LSep 27 · 14:30M. Sychra1.57681161M. Nohejl2.2511119113WSep 25 · 12:58M. Sychra1.917121111113M. Vondrak1.8011148792LSep 25 · 12:30V. Vejvoda1.80111188113M. Sychra1.9187111152LSep 25 · 11:30M. Sychra1.83641211102J. Zuzanek1.831111108123WSep 25 · 10:30M. Vondrak1.80117991M. Sychra1.9171111113LSep 25 · 08:58S. Kasnik2.0012113113M. Sychra1.731081191LSep 25 · 08:30M. Sychra1.735880S. Kasnik2.001111113LSep 25 · 07:00M. Sychra1.83111231192M. Vondrak1.83614119113
Upcoming Matches
M. Nohejl
M. Sychra
Sep 27 · 18:30M. Sychra2.00V. Vejvoda1.73—Sep 27 · 19:30M. Sychra2.20M. Pikous1.61—Sep 27 · 20:30M. Sychra2.00R. Pacha1.73—Sep 28 · 18:00M. Sychra1.73M. Nohejl2.00—Sep 28 · 19:30M. Sychra1.80M. Vizek1.91—Sep 28 · 20:00M. Sychra2.00K. Schopf1.73—Sep 28 · 22:30M. Sychra1.80M. Vizek1.90—Sep 29 · 00:00M. Sychra2.25K. Schopf1.57—Sep 29 · 01:00M. Sychra1.91M. Regner1.80—Sep 29 · 02:00M. Sychra1.83V. Dvorak1.83—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.