TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Petr Osvald vs Miroslav Kowolowski 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11791113111311––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:16 and never touched — 68.2% is still 68.2%
Graded at full timePetr Osvald to win
68.2%
68.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Osvald above · Miroslav Kowolowski below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 86 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Petr Osvald at 68.2%
86 points played in total.
H2H Petr Osvald 3–0 Miroslav Kowolowski Miroslav Kowolowski has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Osvald beat Kowolowski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:16What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (68%)
Osvald
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Osvald
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osvald 1539 vs Kowolowski 1495
Osvald
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osvald 100% vs Kowolowski 40%
Osvald
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osvald 70% vs Kowolowski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Osvald +5 · Kowolowski +1
Osvald
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Osvald)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osvald form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsvald 1.35 / Kowolowski 2.90
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Osvald)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13206506
Osvald1.35
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite62% won 37 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it86% 30 of 35
Kowolowski2.90
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog49% won 34 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back25% 10 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeOsvald3wins
AwayKowolowski0wins
Osvald leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsvald100%3 of 3
AwayKowolowskin = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osvald3Kowolowski0n = 3Osvald took 3 of 3
S2Osvald3Kowolowski0n = 3Osvald took 3 of 3
S3Osvald3Kowolowski0n = 3Osvald took 3 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home3100%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricOsvaldKowolowskiO − KBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match34.720.7+14.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsvaldKowolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 233 vs 163 / 29349.4%55.6%115 / 233 vs 163 / 293Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsvaldOsvald 1.35/Kowolowski 2.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.2%
Osvald · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Osvald won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 27 · 11:30P. Osvald341211113M. Kowolowski2010820
WAug 12 · 20:58P. Osvald331111113M. Kowolowski123540
WAug 12 · 18:00P. Osvald371211143M. Kowolowski30108120
P. Osvald10
WSep 27 · 12:00P. Osvald1.8012711113M. Blejchar1.911011251WSep 27 · 11:30M. Kowolowski2.5010820P. Osvald1.501211113WSep 27 · 10:00P. Osvald1.83111211113P. Bajtek1.83814561WSep 24 · 08:58P. Osvald1.731111113T. Milota2.006910WSep 24 · 08:30P. Osvald2.501111123T. Milota1.5074100LSep 24 · 07:00P. Osvald2.63111070M. Koral1.441312113LSep 24 · 06:00M. Blejchar2.00911117113P. Osvald1.7311561172LSep 19 · 09:30P. Osvald1.8011511732P. Hanel1.90611611113WSep 19 · 08:30P. Hanel1.8320680P. Osvald1.832211113WSep 19 · 07:30P. Osvald2.2513811113J. Hrabec1.581111861
M. Kowolowski10
WSep 27 · 12:30P. Bajtek1.73115149112M. Kowolowski2.006111211133LSep 27 · 11:30M. Kowolowski2.5010820P. Osvald1.501211113WSep 27 · 10:30M. Blejchar2.50811891M. Kowolowski1.5011811113LSep 25 · 13:30M. Koral1.40111196113M. Kowolowski2.7554111162LSep 25 · 12:30M. Koral1.401111113M. Kowolowski2.758560WSep 25 · 11:30M. Kowolowski1.67111411113I. Taichman2.10516881WSep 25 · 10:30P. Smetka1.83121211582M. Kowolowski1.831014411113LSep 24 · 13:30M. Koral1.631111113M. Kowolowski2.156960WSep 24 · 12:00M. Kowolowski2.5011115113M. Koral1.50981181WSep 24 · 11:30T. Milkov2.00117851M. Kowolowski1.7381111113
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