TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Pavel Bajtek vs Miroslav Kowolowski 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Pavel Bajtek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11651114129111113
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:08 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timePavel Bajtek to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavel Bajtek above · Miroslav Kowolowski below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 103 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Pavel Bajtek at 57.5%
103 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:08What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Bajtek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Bajtek 1536 vs Kowolowski 1483
Bajtek
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bajtek 40% vs Kowolowski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bajtek 60% vs Kowolowski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bajtek +1 · Kowolowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bajtek) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bajtek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBajtek 1.73 / Kowolowski 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Bajtek)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13200521
Bajtek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 10 of 14
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Kowolowski2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 34 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back25% 10 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBajtekKowolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime21 / 47 vs 162 / 29244.7%55.5%21 / 47 vs 162 / 292Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BajtekBajtek 1.73/Kowolowski 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Bajtek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kowolowski won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Bajtek10
WSep 27 · 13:06P. Bajtek1.40111111143M. Blejchar2.659813121WSep 27 · 11:00P. Bajtek1.441111113M. Blejchar2.635870LSep 27 · 10:00P. Osvald1.83111211113P. Bajtek1.83814561LJul 26 · 09:30D. Langer1.5011117113P. Bajtek2.50741171LJul 26 · 08:00D. Langer1.831211113P. Bajtek1.8310990WJul 26 · 07:00M. Blejchar2.50661111P. Bajtek1.5011117113WJul 26 · 06:30P. Bajtek1.611111113I. Taichman2.206890WJul 18 · 13:30P. Bajtek1.8015127113L. Jemelka1.9013101171WJul 18 · 12:00D. Langer1.611166101P. Bajtek2.2061111123WJul 18 · 11:00V. Bosak2.103711111P. Bajtek1.6711118133
M. Kowolowski10
LSep 27 · 13:30P. Osvald1.3511913133M. Kowolowski2.9071111111LSep 27 · 11:30M. Kowolowski2.5010820P. Osvald1.501211113WSep 27 · 10:30M. Blejchar2.50811891M. Kowolowski1.5011811113LSep 25 · 13:30M. Koral1.40111196113M. Kowolowski2.7554111162LSep 25 · 12:30M. Koral1.401111113M. Kowolowski2.758560WSep 25 · 11:30M. Kowolowski1.67111411113I. Taichman2.10516881WSep 25 · 10:30P. Smetka1.83121211582M. Kowolowski1.831014411113LSep 24 · 13:30M. Koral1.631111113M. Kowolowski2.156960WSep 24 · 12:00M. Kowolowski2.5011115113M. Koral1.50981181WSep 24 · 11:30T. Milkov2.00117851M. Kowolowski1.7381111113
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