TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Ludek Madle vs Jaroslav Strnad 1961 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116114117––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:27 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeLudek Madle to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLudek Madle above · Jaroslav Strnad 1961 below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 50 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Ludek Madle at 61.7%
50 points played in total.
H2H Ludek Madle 0–1 Jaroslav Strnad 1961 Ludek Madle has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:27What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Madle
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Madle 1168 vs Strnad 1012
Madle
Correct
both rated, 156 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Madle 60% vs Strnad 20%
Madle
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Madle 60% vs Strnad 20%
Madle
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Madle +2 · Strnad -3
Strnad
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Madle) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strnad form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMadle 1.57 / Strnad 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Madle)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13206414
Madle1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 64 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it73% 49 of 67
Strnad2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog27% won 29 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back17% 12 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMadle0wins
AwayStrnad1wins
Strnad leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricMadleStrnadM − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match30.039.0−9.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMadleStrnadBasisWin rate · lifetime259 / 546 vs 141 / 34347.4%41.1%259 / 546 vs 141 / 343Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MadleMadle 1.57/Strnad 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Madle · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Madle won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 24 · 08:30L. Madle3015780J. Strnad391711113
L. Madle10
WSep 28 · 07:00L. Madle1.4061111113M. Marjan2.75115851WSep 28 · 06:00J. Martinek1.91611661L. Madle1.8011911113LSep 24 · 09:30T. Kucera1.851411113L. Madle1.8512240LSep 24 · 08:30L. Madle1.4415780J. Strnad2.631711113WSep 24 · 07:00L. Madle1.531116113J. Pantak2.3821490WSep 24 · 06:00T. Kucera2.0011611742L. Madle1.73711511113WSep 23 · 08:58L. Madle1.361113133M. Smesny3.00911110WSep 23 · 08:30M. Smesny2.63551161L. Madle1.4411119113LSep 23 · 07:30L. Madle1.83111191082L. Forman1.83591112113LSep 23 · 06:30T. Kucera1.73911311113L. Madle2.0011611842
J. Strnad10
LSep 28 · 07:30J. Strnad4.00114651J. Martinek1.2271111113LSep 28 · 06:30M. Marjan1.531111113J. Strnad2.387850LSep 24 · 08:59J. Strnad2.50119881J. Pantak1.5081111113WSep 24 · 08:30L. Madle1.4415780J. Strnad2.631711113LSep 24 · 07:30J. Strnad3.7507110T. Kucera1.251111133LSep 24 · 06:30J. Pantak1.5791111113J. Strnad2.25114841LSep 18 · 13:00M. Marjan1.7341111113J. Strnad2.00119361LSep 18 · 12:30J. Strnad2.206780L. Novotny1.611111113WSep 18 · 11:00J. Strnad2.63511411113M. Marjan1.4411711822LSep 18 · 10:00J. Cernik1.4091113113J. Strnad2.751171141
Upcoming Matches
L. Madle
J. Strnad
Nothing scheduled
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