TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Josef Pantak vs Jaroslav Strnad 1961 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Josef Pantak
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911114118114––
Jaroslav Strnad 1961
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:14 and never touched — 63.9% is still 63.9%
Graded at full timeJosef Pantak to win
63.9%
63.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJosef Pantak above · Jaroslav Strnad 1961 below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 69 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Josef Pantak at 63.9%
69 points played in total.
H2H Josef Pantak 6–1 Jaroslav Strnad 1961 Jaroslav Strnad 1961 has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:14What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Pantak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Pantak
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pantak 1183 vs Strnad 1009
Pantak
Correct
both rated, 174 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pantak 40% vs Strnad 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pantak 40% vs Strnad 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pantak +2 · Strnad -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Pantak) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pantak form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPantak 1.57 / Strnad 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Pantak)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13183444
Pantak1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 186 days ago (Mar 22) · back after a break
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Strnad2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 18)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog28% won 28 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back17% 12 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomePantak6wins
AwayStrnad1wins
2 of 7 to a deciderPantak leads 6–1, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePantak100%4 of 4
AwayStrnad33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pantak4Strnad3n = 7Pantak took 4 of 7
S2Pantak6Strnad1n = 7Pantak took 6 of 7
S3Pantak4Strnad3n = 7Pantak took 4 of 7
S4Pantak3Strnad2n = 5Pantak took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricPantakStrnadP − SBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match40.332.9+7.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPantakStrnadBasisWin rate · lifetime69 / 135 vs 140 / 34451.1%40.7%69 / 135 vs 140 / 344Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.635.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PantakPantak 1.57/Strnad 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Pantak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pantak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 24 · 06:30J. Pantak4291111113J. Strnad27114841
LDec 2 · 08:00J. Pantak401111991J. Strnad4413911113
WNov 22 · 10:30J. Pantak3911116113J. Strnad33891151
WNov 22 · 08:00J. Pantak331111113J. Strnad174580
WNov 15 · 18:09J. Pantak44811311113J. Strnad3611711252
WSep 20 · 16:00J. Pantak49115129123J. Strnad497111011102
WSep 20 · 01:00J. Pantak351113113J. Strnad2491140
J. Pantak10
LSep 24 · 08:00T. Kucera1.731111113J. Pantak2.006130LSep 24 · 07:00L. Madle1.531116113J. Pantak2.3821490WMar 22 · 09:58L. Novotny4.0041211622J. Pantak1.221110411113WMar 22 · 09:00L. Novotny2.10118101182J. Pantak1.67411129113LMar 22 · 08:00P. Sprynar1.8011611133J. Pantak1.918119111LMar 22 · 07:30J. Pantak2.1011116462J. Martinek1.67651111113LMar 13 · 10:30P. Serak1.678111511113J. Pantak2.1011217832LMar 13 · 09:00J. Pantak2.2099130P. Serak1.611111153WMar 13 · 08:30I. Zikmund2.0012851142J. Pantak1.731011115113WMar 13 · 07:00J. Pantak1.6711119113L. Novotny2.10951191
J. Strnad10
LSep 24 · 07:30J. Strnad3.7507110T. Kucera1.251111133LSep 18 · 13:00M. Marjan1.7341111113J. Strnad2.00119361LSep 18 · 12:30J. Strnad2.206780L. Novotny1.611111113WSep 18 · 11:00J. Strnad2.63511411113M. Marjan1.4411711822LSep 18 · 10:00J. Cernik1.4091113113J. Strnad2.751171141WSep 17 · 13:28J. Strnad1.289101111113J. Koch3.5011124862WSep 17 · 12:30J. Strnad1.401111113J. Stary2.756580LSep 17 · 11:00J. Strnad1.57791191V. Kubat2.2511116113WSep 17 · 10:00J. Koch3.50115871J. Strnad1.2871111113LSep 16 · 13:12J. Strnad2.501111881C. Havrda1.5013611113
Upcoming Matches
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J. Strnad
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